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Predictions › Conference League › CSU Craiova vs Getafe
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

CSU Craiova vs Getafe prediction

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco

CSU CraiovaHome
1.10 : 1.15
expected goals
GetafeAway
34%CSU Craiova
30%Draw
36%Getafe
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for CSU Craiova vs Getafe is Getafe to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Getafe to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
CSU Craiova 1.1, Getafe 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

CSU Craiova to win
33% chancePrice 3.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives CSU Craiova 34%, the draw 30% and Getafe 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Getafe the favourite at 2.40.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    CSU Craiova took 7 points from their last 5 games and Getafe took 5 from 5. CSU Craiova come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    CSU Craiova won 1 of their last 3 games at home. Getafe won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    CSU Craiova score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Getafe score 0.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of CSU Craiova games and 3 of Getafe games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Getaferecent form-1%
  • CSU Craiovarest between games-3%
CSU Craiova form L D W D DGetafe form W L D D LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

CSU Craiova vs Getafe: Getafe shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

CSU Craiova host Getafe in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:45 at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco. Our prediction for CSU Craiova vs Getafe is Getafe to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

CSU Craiova form

CSU Craiova have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Getafe form

Getafe have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect CSU Craiova to score about 1.1 goals and Getafe about 1.1. That points to Getafe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is CSU Craiova to win at 3.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CSU CraiovaGetafe
Games played620
Wins29
Draws13
Losses38
Goals scored616
Goals conceded816
Scored per game1.00.8
Conceded per game1.30.8
Home record1W 1D 1L6W 2D 2L
Away record1W 0D 2L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets33%40%
Both teams scored50%20%
Over 2.5 goals33%15%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
CSU Craiova to win33%3.053.00-1.6%
A Draw30%3.323.15-5.2%
Getafe to win35%2.902.40-17.2%
Over 2.5 goals38%2.632.25-14.5%
Under 2.5 goals56%1.801.57-12.8%
CSU Craiova +0.558%1.721.51-12.0%
Getafe -0.537%2.722.25-17.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.56
Over 3.5 goals19%5.24
Both teams to score46%2.15
CSU Craiova or Draw64%1.56
Getafe or Draw66%1.51
CSU Craiova to win and Over 2.516%6.06
Getafe to win and Over 2.518%5.64
CSU Craiova clean sheet32%3.15
Getafe clean sheet33%3.01

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
0-011.3%
0-111.3%
1-010.8%
1-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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Questions people ask

Who will win CSU Craiova vs Getafe?

Our prediction for CSU Craiova vs Getafe is Getafe to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for CSU Craiova vs Getafe?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect CSU Craiova to score 1.1 goals and Getafe 1.1.

Will both teams score in CSU Craiova vs Getafe?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of CSU Craiova last 6 games and 4 of Getafe last 20.

How are CSU Craiova playing?

CSU Craiova have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Getafe playing?

Getafe have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for CSU Craiova vs Getafe?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in CSU Craiova against Getafe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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