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Predictions › United States › Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers
NFLSun 18 Oct, 20:20 United States time

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers prediction

Lambeau Field

Dallas CowboysAway
26.7 : 24.2
projected points
Green Bay PackersHome
60%Cowboys
40%Packers
Eagle safe pickOver 43.5 points
-280

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 60% chance. We project Dallas Cowboys 26.7 and Green Bay Packers 24.2. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -280.

Prediction
Dallas Cowboys to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Dallas Cowboys 27, Green Bay Packers 24
Projected total
50.9 points
Best bet
Over 43.5 points at -280

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 43.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Green Bay Packers 40% and Dallas Cowboys 60%. The bookmakers agree and make Dallas Cowboys the favourite at -142.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Green Bay Packers won 3 of their last 5 and Dallas Cowboys won 2 of their last 5. Green Bay Packers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Green Bay Packers won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Dallas Cowboys won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Green Bay Packers score 22.2 points a game and let in 23.6. Dallas Cowboys score 27.7 and let in 26.9. Their recent games average 45.9 and 54.6 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Green Bay Packers won 0 and Dallas Cowboys won 0. The last one ended Dallas Cowboys 40, Green Bay Packers 40.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 43.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cowboysteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers: Dallas Cowboys are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Green Bay Packers host Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 20:20 at Lambeau Field. Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 60% chance. We project Dallas Cowboys 26.7 and Green Bay Packers 24.2. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -280.

Green Bay Packers form

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 444 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Dallas Cowboys form

Dallas Cowboys have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 554 points scored and 538 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Green Bay Packers won 0, Dallas Cowboys won 0. Last time out it finished Dallas Cowboys 40, Green Bay Packers 40.

Our call

We expect Dallas Cowboys to score about 26.7 points and Green Bay Packers about 24.2. That points to Dallas Cowboys to win. Our safest bet is Over 43.5 points at -280.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PackersCowboys
Games played2020
Wins1010
Losses1010
Points scored444554
Points conceded473538
Scored per game22.227.7
Conceded per game23.626.9
Home record3W 4L4W 5L
Away record7W 6L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Packers to win40%+148+120-11.1%
Cowboys to win53%-112-142-9.9%
Packers +2.547%+114-110-10.8%
Cowboys -2.547%+115-110-11.2%
Over 50.5 points48%+109-110-8.6%
Under 50.5 points45%+120-110-13.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Packers spreadCoversFair
Packers -4.530%+230
Packers -0.541%+142
Packers +2.550%-100
Packers +5.559%-143
Packers +9.570%-232
Total pointsOverUnder
43.572%28%
47.560%40%
50.551%49%
53.542%58%
57.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Packers +3.5 wins if Packers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Dallas Hosts Tampa Bay in Thursday Night Football Clash

Dallas looks to push past .500 while the winless Buccaneers start rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels on Thursday Night Football.

4 hours ago
NFL

Dallas Cowboys Activate Pro Bowl Guard Tyler Smith Ahead of Buccaneers Clash

The Dallas Cowboys are activating Pro Bowl left guard Tyler Smith from injured reserve for his season debut against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

11 hours ago
NFL

Malik Willis takes charge of young Miami Dolphins offense

Malik Willis is ready to lead the Miami Dolphins after signing a three year contract and rebuilding his passing mechanics.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers?

Our prediction for Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers is Dallas Cowboys to win, with a 60% chance. We project Dallas Cowboys 26.7 and Green Bay Packers 24.2. Our best bet is Over 43.5 points at -280.

What is the projected score for Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers?

We project Dallas Cowboys 26.7 and Green Bay Packers 24.2, about 50.9 points in total.

How are Green Bay Packers playing?

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 444 points scored and 473 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Cowboys playing?

Dallas Cowboys have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 554 points scored and 538 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Green Bay Packers and Dallas Cowboys last met?

It ended Dallas Cowboys 40, Green Bay Packers 40. In the last 1 meeting Green Bay Packers won 0 and Dallas Cowboys won 0.

What is the best bet for Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers?

Over 43.5 points at -280, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Packers against Cowboys. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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