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Predictions › United States › Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers
NBASat 14 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction

Rocket Arena

Dallas MavericksAway
114.4 : 119.9
projected points
Cleveland CavaliersHome
33%Mavericks
67%Cavaliers
Eagle safe pickCavaliers +2.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 114.4 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +2.5 at -303.

Prediction
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Dallas Mavericks 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 120
Projected total
234.3 points
Best bet
Cavaliers +2.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Cavaliers +2.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mavericks to win
32% chanceFair price +2111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Cleveland Cavaliers 67% and Dallas Mavericks 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 3 of their last 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Cleveland Cavaliers won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Dallas Mavericks won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Cleveland Cavaliers score 112.3 points a game and let in 114.5. Dallas Mavericks score 113.8 and let in 118.7. Their recent games average 226.8 and 232.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 and Dallas Mavericks won 1. The last one ended Cleveland Cavaliers 120, Dallas Mavericks 130.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Cavaliers +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Cavaliersrest between games-2%
  • Mavericksrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Cleveland Cavaliers host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Sat 14 Nov, 19:30 at Rocket Arena. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 114.4 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +2.5 at -303.

Cleveland Cavaliers form

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2290 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2276 points scored and 2373 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Cleveland Cavaliers won 1, Dallas Mavericks won 1. Last time out it finished Cleveland Cavaliers 120, Dallas Mavericks 130.

Our call

We expect Dallas Mavericks to score about 114.4 points and Cleveland Cavaliers about 119.9. That points to Cleveland Cavaliers to win. Our safest bet is Cavaliers +2.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Mavericks to win at +211.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CavaliersMavericks
Games played2020
Wins98
Losses1112
Points scored22452276
Points conceded22902373
Scored per game112.3113.8
Conceded per game114.5118.7
Home record6W 5L4W 7L
Away record3W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Cavaliers spreadCoversFair
Cavaliers -11.532%+216
Cavaliers -8.541%+146
Cavaliers -5.550%-100
Cavaliers -2.560%-147
Cavaliers +0.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
228.563%37%
231.556%44%
234.549%51%
237.543%57%
240.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Cavaliers +3.5 wins if Cavaliers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Gilgeous Alexander Scores 43 to Lead Thunder Past Cavaliers

Shai Gilgeous Alexander scored 43 points as the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-112 on Monday night.

3 Nov 2026
NBA

Sheri Sam Joins Indiana Fever Front Office as Assistant GM

The Indiana Fever have hired former WNBA champion Sheri Sam away from the Portland Trail Blazers to serve as assistant general manager.

30 Oct 2026
NBA

Kyrie Irving Takes On Leadership Role Alongside Cooper Flagg in Dallas

Kyrie Irving is guiding young star Cooper Flagg as the Dallas Mavericks look to rebuild their culture and return to the playoffs.

28 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers is Cleveland Cavaliers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 114.4 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.9. Our best bet is Cavaliers +2.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

We project Dallas Mavericks 114.4 and Cleveland Cavaliers 119.9, about 234.3 points in total.

How are Cleveland Cavaliers playing?

Cleveland Cavaliers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2245 points scored and 2290 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2276 points scored and 2373 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Cleveland Cavaliers and Dallas Mavericks last met?

It ended Cleveland Cavaliers 120, Dallas Mavericks 130. In the last 2 meetings Cleveland Cavaliers won 1 and Dallas Mavericks won 1.

What is the best bet for Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers?

Cavaliers +2.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Cavaliers against Mavericks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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