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Predictions › United States › Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers
NBAFri 23 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers prediction

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Dallas MavericksAway
117.5 : 117.0
projected points
Indiana PacersHome
53%Mavericks
47%Pacers
Eagle safe pickPacers +8.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Mavericks 117.5 and Indiana Pacers 117.0. Our best bet is Pacers +8.5 at -293.

Prediction
Dallas Mavericks to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Dallas Mavericks 118, Indiana Pacers 117
Projected total
234.5 points
Best bet
Pacers +8.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pacers +8.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indiana Pacers 47% and Dallas Mavericks 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Dallas Mavericks won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indiana Pacers score 116.5 points a game and let in 121.2. Dallas Mavericks score 118.8 and let in 126.3. Their recent games average 237.6 and 245.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Indiana Pacers won 0 and Dallas Mavericks won 2. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 130, Dallas Mavericks 134.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pacers +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-2%
  • Pacersteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers: Dallas Mavericks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Indiana Pacers host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Fri 23 Oct, 19:00 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Mavericks 117.5 and Indiana Pacers 117.0. Our best bet is Pacers +8.5 at -293.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2329 points scored and 2423 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2377 points scored and 2526 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Indiana Pacers won 0, Dallas Mavericks won 2. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 130, Dallas Mavericks 134.

Our call

We expect Dallas Mavericks to score about 117.5 points and Indiana Pacers about 117.0. That points to Dallas Mavericks to win. Our safest bet is Pacers +8.5 at -293.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PacersMavericks
Games played2020
Wins56
Losses1514
Points scored23292377
Points conceded24232526
Scored per game116.5118.8
Conceded per game121.2126.3
Home record2W 9L2W 7L
Away record3W 6L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pacers spreadCoversFair
Pacers -5.532%+216
Pacers -2.541%+146
Pacers +0.550%-101
Pacers +3.560%-148
Pacers +6.569%-218
Total pointsOverUnder
228.563%37%
231.557%43%
234.550%50%
237.543%57%
240.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pacers +3.5 wins if Pacers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Return Brings New Energy to Indiana Pacers

Tyrese Haliburton returned to action after missing 16 months with an Achilles injury. The Indiana Pacers guard is ready to lead his team again.

12 hours ago
NBA

Mavs and Rockets Bond and Break Rims on Preseason China Trip

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets are in Macao, China, for a preseason doubleheader, bonding off the court and meeting fans.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Scores Seven Points in Return to the Court

Tyrese Haliburton returned to action for the Indiana Pacers, scoring seven points in 16 minutes after missing more than 16 months with an injury.

8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers?

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Dallas Mavericks 117.5 and Indiana Pacers 117.0. Our best bet is Pacers +8.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers?

We project Dallas Mavericks 117.5 and Indiana Pacers 117.0, about 234.5 points in total.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2329 points scored and 2423 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2377 points scored and 2526 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Indiana Pacers and Dallas Mavericks last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 130, Dallas Mavericks 134. In the last 2 meetings Indiana Pacers won 0 and Dallas Mavericks won 2.

What is the best bet for Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers?

Pacers +8.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pacers against Mavericks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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