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Predictions › United States › Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves
NBAThu 12 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

Target Center

Dallas MavericksAway
110.9 : 117.0
projected points
Minnesota TimberwolvesHome
30%Mavericks
70%Timberwolves
Eagle safe pickMavericks +14.5
-311

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 70% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 110.9 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.0. Our best bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -311.

Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Dallas Mavericks 111, Minnesota Timberwolves 117
Projected total
227.9 points
Best bet
Mavericks +14.5 at -311

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mavericks +14.5
76% chanceFair price -3112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mavericks to win
30% chanceFair price +2291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Timberwolves 70% and Dallas Mavericks 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 2 of their last 5 and Dallas Mavericks won 4 of their last 5. Dallas Mavericks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Dallas Mavericks won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Timberwolves score 113.7 points a game and let in 114.6. Dallas Mavericks score 115.5 and let in 120.0. Their recent games average 228.3 and 235.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Minnesota Timberwolves won 4 and Dallas Mavericks won 0. The last one ended Dallas Mavericks 94, Minnesota Timberwolves 124.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mavericks +14.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-2%
  • Timberwolvesteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota Timberwolves are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Timberwolves host Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Thu 12 Nov, 20:00 at Target Center. Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 70% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 110.9 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.0. Our best bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -311.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2274 points scored and 2292 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2311 points scored and 2400 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Minnesota Timberwolves won 4, Dallas Mavericks won 0. Last time out it finished Dallas Mavericks 94, Minnesota Timberwolves 124.

Our call

We expect Dallas Mavericks to score about 110.9 points and Minnesota Timberwolves about 117.0. That points to Minnesota Timberwolves to win. Our safest bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -311. Our bold bet is Mavericks to win at +229.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TimberwolvesMavericks
Games played2020
Wins108
Losses1012
Points scored22742311
Points conceded22922400
Scored per game113.7115.5
Conceded per game114.6120.0
Home record4W 4L4W 6L
Away record6W 6L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Timberwolves spreadCoversFair
Timberwolves -12.531%+227
Timberwolves -9.539%+153
Timberwolves -6.549%+104
Timberwolves -3.558%-141
Timberwolves -0.567%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
221.564%36%
224.557%43%
227.551%49%
230.544%56%
233.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Timberwolves +3.5 wins if Timberwolves win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

NBA Head Coaches Demand Fixes to Flopping Rules

Chris Finch and Steve Kerr want the NBA to adjust how flopping technicals are called, targeting offensive foul baiting instead of defense.

29 Oct 2026
NBA

Kyrie Irving Takes On Leadership Role Alongside Cooper Flagg in Dallas

Kyrie Irving is guiding young star Cooper Flagg as the Dallas Mavericks look to rebuild their culture and return to the playoffs.

28 Oct 2026
NBA

Anthony Edwards Set for Knee Surgery, Out Up to Two Months

Minnesota Timberwolves star Anthony Edwards will miss up to two months due to right knee surgery.

27 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Our prediction for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 70% chance. We project Dallas Mavericks 110.9 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.0. Our best bet is Mavericks +14.5 at -311.

What is the projected score for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

We project Dallas Mavericks 110.9 and Minnesota Timberwolves 117.0, about 227.9 points in total.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2274 points scored and 2292 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2311 points scored and 2400 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks last met?

It ended Dallas Mavericks 94, Minnesota Timberwolves 124. In the last 4 meetings Minnesota Timberwolves won 4 and Dallas Mavericks won 0.

What is the best bet for Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Mavericks +14.5 at -311, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Timberwolves against Mavericks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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