Predictions › United States › Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers
NFLSun 8 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers prediction

Bank of America Stadium

Denver BroncosAway
24.6 : 20.7
projected points
Carolina PanthersHome
58%Broncos
42%Panthers
Eagle safe pickBroncos +4.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers is Denver Broncos to win, with a 58% chance. We project Denver Broncos 24.6 and Carolina Panthers 20.7. Our best bet is Broncos +4.5 at -293.

Prediction
Denver Broncos to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
Denver Broncos 25, Carolina Panthers 21
Projected total
45.3 points
Best bet
Broncos +4.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Broncos +4.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Carolina Panthers 42% and Denver Broncos 58%. The bookmakers agree and make Denver Broncos the favourite at -135.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Carolina Panthers won 3 of their last 5 and Denver Broncos won 4 of their last 5. Denver Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Carolina Panthers won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Denver Broncos won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Carolina Panthers score 22.2 points a game and let in 23.9. Denver Broncos score 21.7 and let in 18.6. Their recent games average 46.0 and 40.3 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Broncos +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Panthersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers: Denver Broncos are favourites

The big picture

Carolina Panthers host Denver Broncos in the NFL on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Bank of America Stadium. Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers is Denver Broncos to win, with a 58% chance. We project Denver Broncos 24.6 and Carolina Panthers 20.7. Our best bet is Broncos +4.5 at -293.

Carolina Panthers form

Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 444 points scored and 477 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Denver Broncos form

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 434 points scored and 372 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Denver Broncos to score about 24.6 points and Carolina Panthers about 20.7. That points to Denver Broncos to win. Our safest bet is Broncos +4.5 at -293.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PanthersBroncos
Games played2020
Wins1015
Losses105
Points scored444434
Points conceded477372
Scored per game22.221.7
Conceded per game23.918.6
Home record4W 5L9W 3L
Away record6W 5L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Panthers to win42%+139+114-10.4%
Broncos to win52%-108-135-9.6%
Panthers +2.544%+128-110-16.1%
Broncos -2.550%+101-110-4.8%
Over 44.5 points49%+106-115-9.1%
Under 44.5 points45%+121-105-11.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Panthers spreadCoversFair
Panthers -3.529%+243
Panthers +0.540%+150
Panthers +3.549%+105
Panthers +6.558%-136
Panthers +10.569%-220
Total pointsOverUnder
38.570%30%
42.559%41%
45.549%51%
48.540%60%
52.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Panthers +3.5 wins if Panthers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers?

Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers is Denver Broncos to win, with a 58% chance. We project Denver Broncos 24.6 and Carolina Panthers 20.7. Our best bet is Broncos +4.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers?

We project Denver Broncos 24.6 and Carolina Panthers 20.7, about 45.3 points in total.

How are Carolina Panthers playing?

Carolina Panthers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 444 points scored and 477 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Denver Broncos playing?

Denver Broncos have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 434 points scored and 372 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers?

Broncos +4.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Panthers against Broncos. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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