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Predictions › United States › Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAWed 11 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Denver NuggetsAway
121.5 : 116.2
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
67%Nuggets
33%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickGrizzlies +13.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 67% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 121.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 116.2. Our best bet is Grizzlies +13.5 at -310.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Denver Nuggets 121, Memphis Grizzlies 116
Projected total
237.7 points
Best bet
Grizzlies +13.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grizzlies +13.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Grizzlies to win
33% chanceFair price +2031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 33% and Denver Nuggets 67%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 5 of their last 5 and Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Denver Nuggets won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 115.7 points a game and let in 120.0. Denver Nuggets score 116.0 and let in 114.8. Their recent games average 235.6 and 230.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 1 and Denver Nuggets won 3. The last one ended Denver Nuggets 136, Memphis Grizzlies 119.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grizzlies +13.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
  • Nuggetsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Wed 11 Nov, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 67% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 121.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 116.2. Our best bet is Grizzlies +13.5 at -310.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2313 points scored and 2399 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2321 points scored and 2295 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 1, Denver Nuggets won 3. Last time out it finished Denver Nuggets 136, Memphis Grizzlies 119.

Our call

We expect Denver Nuggets to score about 121.5 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 116.2. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Grizzlies +13.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Grizzlies to win at +203.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesNuggets
Games played2020
Wins1012
Losses108
Points scored23132321
Points conceded23992295
Scored per game115.7116.0
Conceded per game120.0114.8
Home record4W 6L7W 3L
Away record6W 4L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies -0.532%+209
Grizzlies +2.541%+142
Grizzlies +5.551%-103
Grizzlies +8.560%-152
Grizzlies +11.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
231.563%37%
234.557%43%
237.550%50%
240.544%56%
243.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Dillon Brooks Ejected in Phoenix Loss Against Denver

Dillon Brooks was tossed after a Flagrant 2 foul on Jamal Murray, leading to a 127-120 Suns loss against Denver.

31 Oct 2026
NBA

Ja Morant Suffers Hamstring Injury in Portland Loss to Grizzlies

Ja Morant suffered a left hamstring injury during the Portland Trail Blazers' 124-103 loss to his former team in Memphis.

30 Oct 2026
NBA

Nikola Jokic Hits Milestone as Denver Sweeps New Orleans

Nikola Jokic earned his 200th triple-double as the Denver Nuggets secured a 104-91 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans.

29 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 67% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 121.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 116.2. Our best bet is Grizzlies +13.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Denver Nuggets 121.5 and Memphis Grizzlies 116.2, about 237.7 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2313 points scored and 2399 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2321 points scored and 2295 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Denver Nuggets last met?

It ended Denver Nuggets 136, Memphis Grizzlies 119. In the last 4 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 1 and Denver Nuggets won 3.

What is the best bet for Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Grizzlies +13.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Nuggets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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