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Predictions › United States › Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBASat 14 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Denver NuggetsAway
120.2 : 116.9
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
62%Nuggets
38%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPelicans +11.5
-309

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 120.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.9. Our best bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -309.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Denver Nuggets 120, New Orleans Pelicans 117
Projected total
237.2 points
Best bet
Pelicans +11.5 at -309

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans +11.5
76% chanceFair price -3092 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pelicans to win
38% chanceFair price +1621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 38% and Denver Nuggets 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 3 of their last 5 and Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Denver Nuggets won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 116.9 points a game and let in 121.2. Denver Nuggets score 114.7 and let in 114.0. Their recent games average 238.1 and 228.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 5. The last one ended New Orleans Pelicans 91, Denver Nuggets 104.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans +11.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pelicansrest between games-2%
  • Nuggetsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Sat 14 Nov, 19:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 120.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.9. Our best bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -309.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2424 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2294 points scored and 2281 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 0, Denver Nuggets won 5. Last time out it finished New Orleans Pelicans 91, Denver Nuggets 104.

Our call

We expect Denver Nuggets to score about 120.2 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 116.9. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -309. Our bold bet is Pelicans to win at +162.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansNuggets
Games played2020
Wins711
Losses139
Points scored23382294
Points conceded24242281
Scored per game116.9114.7
Conceded per game121.2114.0
Home record4W 4L6W 4L
Away record3W 9L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -2.532%+211
Pelicans +0.541%+143
Pelicans +3.551%-103
Pelicans +6.560%-151
Pelicans +9.569%-223
Total pointsOverUnder
231.562%38%
234.556%44%
237.549%51%
240.543%57%
243.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Dillon Brooks Ejected in Phoenix Loss Against Denver

Dillon Brooks was tossed after a Flagrant 2 foul on Jamal Murray, leading to a 127-120 Suns loss against Denver.

31 Oct 2026
NBA

Nikola Jokic Hits Milestone as Denver Sweeps New Orleans

Nikola Jokic earned his 200th triple-double as the Denver Nuggets secured a 104-91 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans.

29 Oct 2026
NBA

Jokic and Murray Lead Nuggets Back From 23 Down to Beat Pelicans

Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray powered Denver past New Orleans 141-135 in overtime after trailing by 23 points on Saturday.

25 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Denver Nuggets 120.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.9. Our best bet is Pelicans +11.5 at -309.

What is the projected score for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Denver Nuggets 120.2 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.9, about 237.2 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2338 points scored and 2424 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2294 points scored and 2281 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets last met?

It ended New Orleans Pelicans 91, Denver Nuggets 104. In the last 5 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 5.

What is the best bet for Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pelicans +11.5 at -309, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Nuggets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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