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Predictions › United States › Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns
NBAFri 30 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns prediction

Mortgage Matchup Center

Denver NuggetsAway
117.0 : 114.8
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
55%Nuggets
45%Suns
Eagle safe pickSuns +10.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Nuggets 117.0 and Phoenix Suns 114.8. Our best bet is Suns +10.5 at -306.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Denver Nuggets 117, Phoenix Suns 115
Projected total
231.7 points
Best bet
Suns +10.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Suns +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Suns to win
45% chancePrice +1101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 45% and Denver Nuggets 55%. The bookmakers agree and make Denver Nuggets the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5 and Denver Nuggets won 3 of their last 5. Denver Nuggets come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Denver Nuggets won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 110.8 points a game and let in 113.5. Denver Nuggets score 120.5 and let in 116.3. Their recent games average 224.3 and 236.8 points in total, and the market line is 233.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 3. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 123, Denver Nuggets 125.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Suns +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns: Denver Nuggets shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Fri 30 Oct, 22:00 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Nuggets 117.0 and Phoenix Suns 114.8. Our best bet is Suns +10.5 at -306.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2216 points scored and 2270 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2410 points scored and 2327 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 0, Denver Nuggets won 3. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 123, Denver Nuggets 125.

Our call

We expect Denver Nuggets to score about 117.0 points and Phoenix Suns about 114.8. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Suns +10.5 at -306. Our bold bet is Suns to win at +110.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsNuggets
Games played2020
Wins714
Losses136
Points scored22162410
Points conceded22702327
Scored per game110.8120.5
Conceded per game113.5116.3
Home record4W 5L10W 2L
Away record3W 8L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Suns to win45%+123+110-5.9%
Nuggets to win51%-105-130-9.3%
Suns +2.549%+106-110-7.2%
Nuggets -2.547%+111-110-9.4%
Over 233.5 points46%+119-115-14.7%
Under 233.5 points50%-102-105-1.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -3.532%+209
Suns -0.541%+141
Suns +2.551%-104
Suns +5.560%-153
Suns +8.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
225.564%36%
228.557%43%
231.551%49%
234.544%56%
237.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Julian Strawther Out Six Weeks With Left Knee Injury

Denver Nuggets guard Julian Strawther sprained his left knee during a preseason game against the Clippers and will be re-evaluated in six weeks.

17 Oct 2026
NBA

Phoenix Suns Sign Duop Reath to Boost Frontcourt Depth

The Phoenix Suns are signing center Duop Reath to add depth to their frontcourt while Mark Williams recovers from a shoulder injury.

17 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Nuggets 117.0 and Phoenix Suns 114.8. Our best bet is Suns +10.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns?

We project Denver Nuggets 117.0 and Phoenix Suns 114.8, about 231.7 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2216 points scored and 2270 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2410 points scored and 2327 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 123, Denver Nuggets 125. In the last 3 meetings Phoenix Suns won 0 and Denver Nuggets won 3.

What is the best bet for Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns?

Suns +10.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Nuggets. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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