Quick answer
Our prediction for Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins is Detroit Lions to win, with a 75% chance. We project Detroit Lions 27.4 and Miami Dolphins 20.5. Our best bet is Lions to win at -410.
- Prediction
- Detroit Lions to win
- Chance
- 75%
- Projected score
- Detroit Lions 27, Miami Dolphins 21
- Projected total
- 47.9 points
- Best bet
- Lions to win at -410
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Lions to win
76% chancePrice -4101 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Miami Dolphins 25% and Detroit Lions 75%. The bookmakers agree and make Detroit Lions the favourite at -410.
- 2
Recent formMiami Dolphins won 1 of their last 5 and Detroit Lions won 3 of their last 5. Detroit Lions come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayMiami Dolphins won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Detroit Lions won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
ScoringMiami Dolphins score 16.6 points a game and let in 23.5. Detroit Lions score 26.5 and let in 24.1. Their recent games average 40.1 and 50.5 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.
- 5
The safest betLions to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewDetroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins: Detroit Lions are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Miami Dolphins host Detroit Lions in the NFL on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Hard Rock Stadium. Our prediction for Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins is Detroit Lions to win, with a 75% chance. We project Detroit Lions 27.4 and Miami Dolphins 20.5. Our best bet is Lions to win at -410.
Miami Dolphins form
Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 333 points scored and 470 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
Detroit Lions form
Detroit Lions have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 530 points scored and 481 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.
Our call
We expect Detroit Lions to score about 27.4 points and Miami Dolphins about 20.5. That points to Detroit Lions to win. Our safest bet is Lions to win at -410.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Dolphins +3.5 wins if Dolphins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins?
Our prediction for Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins is Detroit Lions to win, with a 75% chance. We project Detroit Lions 27.4 and Miami Dolphins 20.5. Our best bet is Lions to win at -410.
What is the projected score for Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins?
We project Detroit Lions 27.4 and Miami Dolphins 20.5, about 47.9 points in total.
How are Miami Dolphins playing?
Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 333 points scored and 470 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.
How are Detroit Lions playing?
Detroit Lions have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 530 points scored and 481 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.
What is the best bet for Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins?
Lions to win at -410, with a 76% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dolphins against Lions. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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