Predictions › United States › Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAWed 18 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Detroit PistonsAway
117.3 : 110.4
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
72%Pistons
28%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPistons +1.5
-311

Quick answer

Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 72% chance. We project Detroit Pistons 117.3 and New Orleans Pelicans 110.4. Our best bet is Pistons +1.5 at -311.

Prediction
Detroit Pistons to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Detroit Pistons 117, New Orleans Pelicans 110
Projected total
227.7 points
Best bet
Pistons +1.5 at -311

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pistons +1.5
76% chanceFair price -3112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pelicans to win
28% chanceFair price +2581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 28% and Detroit Pistons 72%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5 and Detroit Pistons won 3 of their last 5. Detroit Pistons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Detroit Pistons won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 117.8 points a game and let in 121.5. Detroit Pistons score 112.1 and let in 108.0. Their recent games average 239.2 and 220.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 0 and Detroit Pistons won 2. The last one ended Detroit Pistons 129, New Orleans Pelicans 108.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pistons +1.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
  • Pistonsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans: Detroit Pistons are favourites

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Detroit Pistons in the NBA on Wed 18 Nov, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 72% chance. We project Detroit Pistons 117.3 and New Orleans Pelicans 110.4. Our best bet is Pistons +1.5 at -311.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2355 points scored and 2429 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Detroit Pistons form

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2159 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 0, Detroit Pistons won 2. Last time out it finished Detroit Pistons 129, New Orleans Pelicans 108.

Our call

We expect Detroit Pistons to score about 117.3 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 110.4. That points to Detroit Pistons to win. Our safest bet is Pistons +1.5 at -311. Our bold bet is Pelicans to win at +258.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansPistons
Games played2020
Wins812
Losses128
Points scored23552242
Points conceded24292159
Scored per game117.8112.1
Conceded per game121.5108.0
Home record5W 4L6W 4L
Away record3W 8L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans +0.530%+229
Pelicans +3.539%+155
Pelicans +6.549%+105
Pelicans +9.558%-139
Pelicans +12.567%-205
Total pointsOverUnder
221.564%36%
224.557%43%
227.550%50%
230.544%56%
233.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 72% chance. We project Detroit Pistons 117.3 and New Orleans Pelicans 110.4. Our best bet is Pistons +1.5 at -311.

What is the projected score for Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Detroit Pistons 117.3 and New Orleans Pelicans 110.4, about 227.7 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2355 points scored and 2429 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Detroit Pistons playing?

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2159 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Detroit Pistons last met?

It ended Detroit Pistons 129, New Orleans Pelicans 108. In the last 2 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 0 and Detroit Pistons won 2.

What is the best bet for Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pistons +1.5 at -311, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Pistons. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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