Predictions › United States › Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs
NBATue 17 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

Detroit PistonsAway
109.5 : 110.8
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
50%Pistons
50%Spurs
Eagle safe pickPistons +9.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Pistons 109.5 and San Antonio Spurs 110.8. Our best bet is Pistons +9.5 at -306.

Prediction
Detroit Pistons to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Detroit Pistons 110, San Antonio Spurs 111
Projected total
220.3 points
Best bet
Pistons +9.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pistons +9.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pistons to win
44% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 50% and Detroit Pistons 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 5 and Detroit Pistons won 3 of their last 5. San Antonio Spurs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Detroit Pistons won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 114.7 points a game and let in 106.9. Detroit Pistons score 112.1 and let in 108.0. Their recent games average 221.6 and 220.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Detroit Pistons won 0. The last one ended San Antonio Spurs 121, Detroit Pistons 106.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pistons +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-5%
  • Pistonsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs: Detroit Pistons shade it

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Detroit Pistons in the NBA on Tue 17 Nov, 20:00 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Pistons 109.5 and San Antonio Spurs 110.8. Our best bet is Pistons +9.5 at -306.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2293 points scored and 2138 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Detroit Pistons form

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2159 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 2, Detroit Pistons won 0. Last time out it finished San Antonio Spurs 121, Detroit Pistons 106.

Our call

We expect Detroit Pistons to score about 109.5 points and San Antonio Spurs about 110.8. That points to Detroit Pistons to win. Our safest bet is Pistons +9.5 at -306. Our bold bet is Pistons to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursPistons
Games played2020
Wins1212
Losses88
Points scored22932242
Points conceded21382159
Scored per game114.7112.1
Conceded per game106.9108.0
Home record6W 5L6W 4L
Away record6W 3L6W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -7.531%+225
Spurs -4.540%+152
Spurs -1.549%+104
Spurs +1.559%-142
Spurs +4.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
214.563%37%
217.556%44%
220.550%50%
223.543%57%
226.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Pistons 109.5 and San Antonio Spurs 110.8. Our best bet is Pistons +9.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Detroit Pistons 109.5 and San Antonio Spurs 110.8, about 220.3 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2293 points scored and 2138 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Detroit Pistons playing?

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2242 points scored and 2159 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Detroit Pistons last met?

It ended San Antonio Spurs 121, Detroit Pistons 106. In the last 2 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Detroit Pistons won 0.

What is the best bet for Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs?

Pistons +9.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Pistons. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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