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Predictions › United States › Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 12:30 United States time

Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack prediction

Carter-Finley Stadium

Duke Blue DevilsAway
26.5 : 30.9
projected points
NC State WolfpackHome
44%Duke
56%NC State
Eagle safe pickUnder 67.5 points
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack is NC State Wolfpack to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Duke Blue Devils 26.5 and NC State Wolfpack 30.9. Our best bet is Under 67.5 points at -294.

Prediction
NC State Wolfpack to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Duke Blue Devils 26, NC State Wolfpack 31
Projected total
57.4 points
Best bet
Under 67.5 points at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 67.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Duke to win
38% chanceFair price +1621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives NC State Wolfpack 56% and Duke Blue Devils 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    NC State Wolfpack won 2 of their last 5 and Duke Blue Devils won 3 of their last 5. Duke Blue Devils come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    NC State Wolfpack won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Duke Blue Devils won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    NC State Wolfpack score 31.1 points a game and let in 27.9. Duke Blue Devils score 33.1 and let in 24.3. Their recent games average 59.0 and 57.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, NC State Wolfpack won 0 and Duke Blue Devils won 1. The last one ended Duke Blue Devils 45, NC State Wolfpack 33.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 67.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack: NC State Wolfpack shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

NC State Wolfpack host Duke Blue Devils in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 12:30 at Carter-Finley Stadium. Our prediction for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack is NC State Wolfpack to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Duke Blue Devils 26.5 and NC State Wolfpack 30.9. Our best bet is Under 67.5 points at -294.

NC State Wolfpack form

NC State Wolfpack have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 560 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Duke Blue Devils form

Duke Blue Devils have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 629 points scored and 462 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. NC State Wolfpack won 0, Duke Blue Devils won 1. Last time out it finished Duke Blue Devils 45, NC State Wolfpack 33.

Our call

We expect Duke Blue Devils to score about 26.5 points and NC State Wolfpack about 30.9. That points to NC State Wolfpack to win. Our safest bet is Under 67.5 points at -294. Our bold bet is Duke to win at +162.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

NC StateDuke
Games played1819
Wins913
Losses96
Points scored560629
Points conceded502462
Scored per game31.133.1
Conceded per game27.924.3
Home record8W 2L6W 3L
Away record1W 7L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

NC State spreadCoversFair
NC State -11.533%+203
NC State -7.542%+135
NC State -4.550%+100
NC State -1.557%-134
NC State +2.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
50.567%33%
54.557%43%
57.550%50%
60.542%58%
64.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. NC State +3.5 wins if NC State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Goebbel Takes Over at NC State After Doeren Firing

Todd Goebbel steps in as interim head coach for NC State after the program parted ways with long time coach Dave Doeren.

27 Oct 2026
College Football

Duke Cornerback Kimari Robinson Issues Apology to Staffer

Duke cornerback Kimari Robinson publicly apologized after swatting a training staff member's arm during Saturday's loss to North Carolina.

19 Oct 2026
College Football

Former NC State Sports Medicine Director Arrested on Sexual Abuse Charges

Former NC State sports medicine director Robert Michael Murphy has been arrested in Florida following a grand jury indictment for sexual abuse.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?

Our prediction for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack is NC State Wolfpack to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Duke Blue Devils 26.5 and NC State Wolfpack 30.9. Our best bet is Under 67.5 points at -294.

What is the projected score for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?

We project Duke Blue Devils 26.5 and NC State Wolfpack 30.9, about 57.4 points in total.

How are NC State Wolfpack playing?

NC State Wolfpack have 9 wins and 9 losses in their last 18 games, with 560 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Duke Blue Devils playing?

Duke Blue Devils have 13 wins and 6 losses in their last 19 games, with 629 points scored and 462 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when NC State Wolfpack and Duke Blue Devils last met?

It ended Duke Blue Devils 45, NC State Wolfpack 33. In the last 1 meeting NC State Wolfpack won 0 and Duke Blue Devils won 1.

What is the best bet for Duke Blue Devils vs NC State Wolfpack?

Under 67.5 points at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in NC State against Duke. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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