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Predictions › United States › Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLSat 14 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Edmonton OilersAway
3.9 : 2.9
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
70%Oilers
30%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickMaple Leafs +3
-455

Quick answer

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 70% chance. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.9 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Maple Leafs +3 at -455.

Prediction
Edmonton Oilers to win
Chance
70%
Projected score
Edmonton Oilers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Maple Leafs +3 at -455

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Maple Leafs +3
82% chanceFair price -4552 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
30% chanceFair price +2331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 30% and Edmonton Oilers 70%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 of their last 5 and Edmonton Oilers won 3 of their last 5. Edmonton Oilers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Edmonton Oilers won 9 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.8 goals a game and let in 3.1. Edmonton Oilers score 4.0 and let in 2.6. Their recent games average 6.9 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and Edmonton Oilers won 1. The last one ended Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Maple Leafs +3 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
  • Oilersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Edmonton Oilers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Edmonton Oilers in the NHL on Sat 14 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 70% chance. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.9 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Maple Leafs +3 at -455.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 75 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Edmonton Oilers form

Edmonton Oilers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 2, Edmonton Oilers won 1. Last time out it finished Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 7.

Our call

We expect Edmonton Oilers to score about 3.9 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 2.9. That points to Edmonton Oilers to win. Our safest bet is Maple Leafs +3 at -455. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +233.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsOilers
Games played2020
Wins1015
Losses105
Goals scored7580
Goals conceded6353
Scored per game3.84.0
Conceded per game3.12.6
Home record5W 5L6W 4L
Away record5W 5L9W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs +0.541%+146
Maple Leafs +1.557%-133
Maple Leafs +2.572%-262
Total goalsOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.555%45%
7.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Macklin Celebrini Scores in Return as Sharks Fall to Oilers

San Jose captain Macklin Celebrini scored his first goal of the season in his return, but the Sharks lost 3-1 to the Edmonton Oilers.

11 Oct 2026
NHL

Hyman Invites Messier to See Babcock's Oilers First Hand

Zach Hyman has responded to Mark Messier's criticism of the Edmonton Oilers hiring Mike Babcock, inviting the team legend to see their positive environment.

25 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 70% chance. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.9 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9. Our best bet is Maple Leafs +3 at -455.

What is the projected score for Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Edmonton Oilers 3.9 and Toronto Maple Leafs 2.9, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 75 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Edmonton Oilers playing?

Edmonton Oilers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 80 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Edmonton Oilers last met?

It ended Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 7. In the last 3 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 2 and Edmonton Oilers won 1.

What is the best bet for Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Maple Leafs +3 at -455, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Oilers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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