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Predictions › Germany › FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
BundesligaSat 10 Oct, 13:30 Germany time

FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich prediction

WWK Arena

FC AugsburgHome
1.41 : 3.15
expected goals
Bayern MunichAway
14%Augsburg
15%Draw
72%Bayern
Eagle safe pickBayern Munich or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Bayern Munich to win
Chance
72%
Most likely score
1-3
Expected goals
FC Augsburg 1.4, Bayern Munich 3.1
Best bet
Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
73%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bayern Munich or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-3
8% chanceFair price 13.001 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Augsburg 14%, the draw 15% and Bayern Munich 72%. The bookmakers agree and make Bayern Munich the favourite at 1.19.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Augsburg took 7 points from their last 5 games and Bayern Munich took 13 from 5. Bayern Munich come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Augsburg won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Bayern Munich won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Augsburg score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Bayern Munich score 3.5 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of FC Augsburg games and 16 of Bayern Munich games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Augsburg won 1 and Bayern Munich won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Bayern Munich 1, FC Augsburg 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bayern Munich or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Augsburgrecent form+3%
  • Bayernrecent form+6%
Augsburg form L D W W WBayern form W W W D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich: Bayern Munich are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Augsburg host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 at WWK Arena. Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19.

FC Augsburg form

FC Augsburg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Bayern Munich form

Bayern Munich have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Augsburg won 1, Bayern Munich won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Bayern Munich 1, FC Augsburg 2.

Our call

We expect FC Augsburg to score about 1.4 goals and Bayern Munich about 3.1. That points to Bayern Munich to win, with 1-3 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-3 at 13.00.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AugsburgBayern
Games played2020
Wins1015
Draws44
Losses61
Goals scored3670
Goals conceded3226
Scored per game1.83.5
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record5W 3D 1L8W 2D 0L
Away record5W 1D 5L7W 2D 1L
Clean sheets15%30%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
FC Augsburg to win14%7.347.50+2.2%
A Draw15%6.717.00+4.3%
Bayern Munich to win73%1.361.19-12.8%
Over 4.5 goals45%2.211.91-13.7%
Under 4.5 goals49%2.061.80-12.7%
FC Augsburg +2.556%1.801.61-10.8%
Bayern Munich -2.538%2.622.05-21.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%1.06
Over 2.5 goals83%1.20
Over 3.5 goals67%1.50
Both teams to score73%1.38
FC Augsburg or Draw28%3.51
Bayern Munich or Draw86%1.16
FC Augsburg to win and Over 2.511%8.76
Bayern Munich to win and Over 2.563%1.58
FC Augsburg clean sheet4%23.24
Bayern Munich clean sheet24%4.09

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-37.7%
1-27.3%
1-46.0%
0-35.5%
2-35.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
LaLiga

Bayern Target Dani Olmo as Chelsea and Man United Eye January Transfers

Bayern Munich are tracking Barcelona midfielder Dani Olmo, while Manchester United and Chelsea target defensive and midfield reinforcements.

25 Sept 2026
LaLiga

Real Madrid Target Bayern Munich Teenager as Milan Move to Keep Pulisic

Real Madrid are tracking Bayern Munich's Lennart Karl, while AC Milan want to hand Christian Pulisic a new contract until 2031.

24 Sept 2026
Premier League

Bayern Munich Eye Erling Haaland as Future Harry Kane Replacement

Bayern Munich are linked with Manchester City striker Erling Haaland, while Premier League clubs battle for Crystal Palace defender Tyrick Mitchell.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

Our prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 1-3. Our best bet is Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

1-3 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 1-4. We expect FC Augsburg to score 1.4 goals and Bayern Munich 3.1.

Will both teams score in FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

Both teams to score has a 73% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of FC Augsburg last 20 games and 14 of Bayern Munich last 20.

How are FC Augsburg playing?

FC Augsburg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Bayern Munich playing?

Bayern Munich have 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when FC Augsburg and Bayern Munich last met?

It ended Bayern Munich 1, FC Augsburg 2. In the last 1 meeting FC Augsburg won 1 and Bayern Munich won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Augsburg against Bayern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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