Predictions › Turkey › Fenerbahce vs Goztepe

Super LigSat 31 Oct, 16:00 Turkey time

Fenerbahce vs Goztepe prediction

Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

FenerbahceHome

2.42 : 1.45

expected goals

GoztepeAway

58%Fenerbahce

20%Draw

22%Goztepe

Eagle safe pickFenerbahce or Draw

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Goztepe is Fenerbahce to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction: Fenerbahce to win
Chance: 58%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Fenerbahce 2.4, Goztepe 1.4
Best bet: Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score: 70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fenerbahce or Draw

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fenerbahce to win and both score

38% chanceFair price 2.651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fenerbahce 58%, the draw 20% and Goztepe 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Fenerbahce took 10 points from their last 5 games and Goztepe took 8 from 5. Fenerbahce come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fenerbahce won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Goztepe won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Fenerbahce score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Goztepe score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Fenerbahce games and 14 of Goztepe games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Fenerbahce won 0 and Goztepe won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Fenerbahce 1, Goztepe 1.
6
The safest bet
Fenerbahce or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Fenerbahcerecent form+3%
Fenerbahcerest between games-5%

Fenerbahce form D W L W WGoztepe form D W D D LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fenerbahce vs Goztepe: Fenerbahce are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fenerbahce host Goztepe in the Super Lig on Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Goztepe is Fenerbahce to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.28.

Fenerbahce form

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Goztepe form

Goztepe have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Fenerbahce won 0, Goztepe won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Fenerbahce 1, Goztepe 1.

Our call

We expect Fenerbahce to score about 2.4 goals and Goztepe about 1.4. That points to Fenerbahce to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Fenerbahce to win and both score at 2.65.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Fenerbahce	Goztepe
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	5
Draws	5	8
Losses	5	7
Goals scored	45	32
Goals conceded	27	36
Scored per game	2.3	1.6
Conceded per game	1.4	1.8
Home record	6W 4D 1L	2W 4D 3L
Away record	4W 1D 4L	3W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	90%	1.11
Over 2.5 goals	74%	1.35
Over 3.5 goals	54%	1.85
Both teams to score	70%	1.43
Fenerbahce or Draw	78%	1.28
Goztepe or Draw	42%	2.41
Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5	48%	2.09
Goztepe to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.92
Fenerbahce clean sheet	23%	4.26
Goztepe clean sheet	9%	11.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.9%

1-17.8%

3-17.1%

2-26.4%

2-06.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Champions League

Fenerbahce Denied First European Win in Slavia Prague Draw

Mason Greenwood scored but Fenerbahce conceded late against Slavia Prague in a 2-2 Champions League draw on Tuesday.

10 hours ago

Questions people ask

Who will win Fenerbahce vs Goztepe?

Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Goztepe is Fenerbahce to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Fenerbahce vs Goztepe?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 3-1. We expect Fenerbahce to score 2.4 goals and Goztepe 1.4.

Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Goztepe?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Fenerbahce last 20 games and 13 of Goztepe last 20.

How are Fenerbahce playing?

How are Goztepe playing?

What happened when Fenerbahce and Goztepe last met?

It ended Fenerbahce 1, Goztepe 1. In the last 1 meeting Fenerbahce won 0 and Goztepe won 0.

What is the best bet for Fenerbahce vs Goztepe?

Fenerbahce or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fenerbahce against Goztepe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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