Predictions › United Kingdom › Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal

Carabao CupTue 27 Oct, 20:00 United Kingdom time

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal prediction

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood TownHome

0.96 : 3.58

expected goals

ArsenalAway

6%Fleetwood Town

10%Draw

84%Arsenal

Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals

2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 0-3. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction: Arsenal to win
Chance: 84%
Most likely score: 0-3
Expected goals: Fleetwood Town 1.0, Arsenal 3.6
Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 2/92 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-3

8% chanceFair price 11/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fleetwood Town 6%, the draw 10% and Arsenal 84%. The bookmakers agree and make Arsenal the favourite at 1/10.
2
Recent form
Fleetwood Town took 10 points from their last 5 games and Arsenal took 12 from 5. Arsenal come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fleetwood Town won 4 of their last 5 games at home. Arsenal won 6 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Fleetwood Town score 1.7 goals a game and let in 0.7. Arsenal score 1.6 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Fleetwood Town games and 10 of Arsenal games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 2.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Fleetwood Townrecent form-1%
Arsenalrecent form+3%
Fleetwood Townrest between games-3%
Arsenalteam news-3%

Fleetwood Town form D D W L LArsenal form D W L W WHome edge in this league 5% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal: Arsenal are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fleetwood Town host Arsenal in the Carabao Cup on Tue 27 Oct, 20:00 at Highbury Stadium. Our prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 0-3. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2/9.

Fleetwood Town form

Fleetwood Town have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 games, with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Arsenal form

Arsenal have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Fleetwood Town to score about 1.0 goals and Arsenal about 3.6. That points to Arsenal to win, with 0-3 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-3 at 11/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Fleetwood Town	Arsenal
Games played	6	20
Wins	4	14
Draws	1	3
Losses	1	3
Goals scored	10	31
Goals conceded	4	14
Scored per game	1.7	1.6
Conceded per game	0.7	0.7
Home record	4W 1D 0L	8W 1D 1L
Away record	0W 0D 1L	6W 2D 2L
Clean sheets	50%	55%
Both teams scored	33%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Fleetwood Town to win	5%	18/1	16/1	-4.8%
A Draw	9%	10/1	9/1	-6.0%
Arsenal to win	84%	1/5	1/10	-11.7%
Over 3.5 goals	50%	Evens	5/6	-8.7%
Under 3.5 goals	46%	6/5	5/6	-15.2%
Fleetwood Town +2.5	47%	11/10	5/6	-11.9%
Arsenal -2.5	49%	21/20	8/11	-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	94%	1/10
Over 2.5 goals	83%	1/5
Over 3.5 goals	66%	1/2
Both teams to score	60%	4/6
Fleetwood Town or Draw	16%	11/2
Arsenal or Draw	94%	1/10
Fleetwood Town to win and Over 2.5	4%	20/1
Arsenal to win and Over 2.5	74%	4/11
Fleetwood Town clean sheet	3%	33/1
Arsenal clean sheet	38%	13/8

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-38.1%

1-37.8%

0-47.3%

1-47.0%

0-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

Mikel Merino Explains How Arsenal Found Title Belief

Mikel Merino revealed that a private team meeting after dropping points against Wolves was the moment Arsenal knew they would win the title.

16 Oct 2026

Premier League

Eberechi Eze Promises Ronaldo Celebration After Video Game Defeat

Eberechi Eze must perform a Cristiano Ronaldo inspired celebration after losing to streamer IShowSpeed in EA Sports FC.

15 Oct 2026

Champions League

Eberechi Eze Embraces Competition For Places At Arsenal

Eberechi Eze scored in Arsenal's 3-0 win against Lille and spoke about fighting for his spot in Mikel Arteta's squad.

14 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

Our prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal is Arsenal to win, with a 84% chance. The most likely score is 0-3. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

0-3 is the most likely score, followed by 1-3 and 0-4. We expect Fleetwood Town to score 1.0 goals and Arsenal 3.6.

Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Fleetwood Town last 6 games and 8 of Arsenal last 20.

How are Fleetwood Town playing?

How are Arsenal playing?

What is the best bet for Fleetwood Town vs Arsenal?

Over 2.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fleetwood Town against Arsenal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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