Predictions › United States › Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats prediction

Kroger Field

Florida GatorsAway
23.8 : 34.6
projected points
Kentucky WildcatsHome
24%Florida
76%Kentucky
Eagle safe pickKentucky to win
-322

Quick answer

Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats is Kentucky Wildcats to win, with a 76% chance. We project Florida Gators 23.8 and Kentucky Wildcats 34.6. Our best bet is Kentucky to win at -322.

Prediction
Kentucky Wildcats to win
Chance
76%
Projected score
Florida Gators 24, Kentucky Wildcats 35
Projected total
58.4 points
Best bet
Kentucky to win at -322

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kentucky to win
76% chanceFair price -3222 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kentucky Wildcats 76% and Florida Gators 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kentucky Wildcats won 5 of their last 5 and Florida Gators won 2 of their last 5. Kentucky Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kentucky Wildcats won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Florida Gators won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kentucky Wildcats score 27.3 points a game and let in 26.1. Florida Gators score 26.3 and let in 27.5. Their recent games average 53.4 and 53.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kentucky Wildcats won 1 and Florida Gators won 0. The last one ended Kentucky Wildcats 38, Florida Gators 7.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kentucky to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats: Kentucky Wildcats are favourites

The big picture

Kentucky Wildcats host Florida Gators in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 00:00 at Kroger Field. Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats is Kentucky Wildcats to win, with a 76% chance. We project Florida Gators 23.8 and Kentucky Wildcats 34.6. Our best bet is Kentucky to win at -322.

Kentucky Wildcats form

Kentucky Wildcats have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 492 points scored and 469 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Florida Gators form

Florida Gators have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 473 points scored and 495 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kentucky Wildcats won 1, Florida Gators won 0. Last time out it finished Kentucky Wildcats 38, Florida Gators 7.

Our call

We expect Florida Gators to score about 23.8 points and Kentucky Wildcats about 34.6. That points to Kentucky Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Kentucky to win at -322.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

KentuckyFlorida
Games played1818
Wins118
Losses710
Points scored492473
Points conceded469495
Scored per game27.326.3
Conceded per game26.127.5
Home record7W 3L6W 3L
Away record4W 4L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Kentucky spreadCoversFair
Kentucky -17.534%+196
Kentucky -13.543%+131
Kentucky -10.551%-103
Kentucky -7.558%-139
Kentucky -3.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
51.567%33%
55.557%43%
58.550%50%
61.542%58%
65.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kentucky +3.5 wins if Kentucky win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats?

Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats is Kentucky Wildcats to win, with a 76% chance. We project Florida Gators 23.8 and Kentucky Wildcats 34.6. Our best bet is Kentucky to win at -322.

What is the projected score for Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats?

We project Florida Gators 23.8 and Kentucky Wildcats 34.6, about 58.4 points in total.

How are Kentucky Wildcats playing?

Kentucky Wildcats have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 492 points scored and 469 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Florida Gators playing?

Florida Gators have 8 wins and 10 losses in their last 18 games, with 473 points scored and 495 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Kentucky Wildcats and Florida Gators last met?

It ended Kentucky Wildcats 38, Florida Gators 7. In the last 1 meeting Kentucky Wildcats won 1 and Florida Gators won 0.

What is the best bet for Florida Gators vs Kentucky Wildcats?

Kentucky to win at -322, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kentucky against Florida. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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