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Predictions › United States › Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers prediction

Memorial Stadium

Florida GatorsAway
30.4 : 25.9
projected points
Missouri TigersHome
67%Florida
33%Missouri
Eagle safe pickUnder 66.5 points
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers is Florida Gators to win, with a 67% chance. We project Florida Gators 30.4 and Missouri Tigers 25.9. Our best bet is Under 66.5 points at -296.

Prediction
Florida Gators to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Florida Gators 30, Missouri Tigers 26
Projected total
56.3 points
Best bet
Under 66.5 points at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 66.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Missouri Tigers 33% and Florida Gators 67%. The bookmakers agree and make Florida Gators the favourite at -218.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and Florida Gators won 5 of their last 5. Florida Gators come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Missouri Tigers won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Florida Gators won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Missouri Tigers score 28.9 points a game and let in 19.5. Florida Gators score 28.7 and let in 25.8. Their recent games average 48.3 and 54.5 points in total, and the market line is 56.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 66.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Missourirest between games-5%
  • Floridarest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers: Florida Gators are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Missouri Tigers host Florida Gators in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers is Florida Gators to win, with a 67% chance. We project Florida Gators 30.4 and Missouri Tigers 25.9. Our best bet is Under 66.5 points at -296.

Missouri Tigers form

Missouri Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 433 points scored and 292 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Florida Gators form

Florida Gators have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 402 points scored and 361 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Florida Gators to score about 30.4 points and Missouri Tigers about 25.9. That points to Florida Gators to win. Our safest bet is Under 66.5 points at -296.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

MissouriFlorida
Games played1514
Wins97
Losses67
Points scored433402
Points conceded292361
Scored per game28.928.7
Conceded per game19.525.8
Home record6W 3L6W 2L
Away record3W 3L1W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Missouri to win33%+199+180-6.5%
Florida to win64%-176-218-6.9%
Missouri +4.547%+113-108-9.7%
Florida -4.547%+113-112-11.3%
Over 56.5 points46%+116-112-12.4%
Under 56.5 points47%+111-108-8.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Missouri spreadCoversFair
Missouri -2.533%+202
Missouri +1.543%+135
Missouri +4.550%+100
Missouri +7.557%-135
Missouri +11.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
49.566%34%
53.557%43%
56.549%51%
59.542%58%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Missouri +3.5 wins if Missouri win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Missouri Claims 1960 National Title 66 Years Later

The U.S. Senate passed a resolution recognizing the 1960 Missouri Tigers as national champions, just in time for their upcoming game against Troy.

18 Sept 2026
College Football

Drinkwitz Rips Kansas Border War Hype After Missouri Win

Missouri coach Eli Drinkwitz blasted Kansas for using pre-Civil War history to hype up their football rivalry after the Tigers' 38-21 win.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?

Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers is Florida Gators to win, with a 67% chance. We project Florida Gators 30.4 and Missouri Tigers 25.9. Our best bet is Under 66.5 points at -296.

What is the projected score for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?

We project Florida Gators 30.4 and Missouri Tigers 25.9, about 56.3 points in total.

How are Missouri Tigers playing?

Missouri Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 433 points scored and 292 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Florida Gators playing?

Florida Gators have 7 wins and 7 losses in their last 14 games, with 402 points scored and 361 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 5 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?

Under 66.5 points at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Missouri against Florida. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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