EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns prediction

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Florida GatorsAway
18.3 : 37.4
projected points
Texas LonghornsHome
14%Florida
86%Texas
Eagle safe pickFlorida +29.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 86% chance. We project Florida Gators 18.3 and Texas Longhorns 37.4. Our best bet is Florida +29.5 at -300.

Prediction
Texas Longhorns to win
Chance
86%
Projected score
Florida Gators 18, Texas Longhorns 37
Projected total
55.7 points
Best bet
Florida +29.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Florida +29.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Texas Longhorns 86% and Florida Gators 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Texas Longhorns won 5 of their last 5 and Florida Gators won 4 of their last 5. Texas Longhorns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Texas Longhorns won 10 of their last 10 games at home. Florida Gators won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Texas Longhorns score 32.3 points a game and let in 19.7. Florida Gators score 27.9 and let in 27.1. Their recent games average 52.0 and 55.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Texas Longhorns won 0 and Florida Gators won 1. The last one ended Florida Gators 29, Texas Longhorns 21.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Florida +29.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns: Texas Longhorns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Texas Longhorns host Florida Gators in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 86% chance. We project Florida Gators 18.3 and Texas Longhorns 37.4. Our best bet is Florida +29.5 at -300.

Texas Longhorns form

Texas Longhorns have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 484 points scored and 296 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Florida Gators form

Florida Gators have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 419 points scored and 406 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Texas Longhorns won 0, Florida Gators won 1. Last time out it finished Florida Gators 29, Texas Longhorns 21.

Our call

We expect Florida Gators to score about 18.3 points and Texas Longhorns about 37.4. That points to Texas Longhorns to win. Our safest bet is Florida +29.5 at -300.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

TexasFlorida
Games played1515
Wins137
Losses28
Points scored484419
Points conceded296406
Scored per game32.327.9
Conceded per game19.727.1
Home record10W 0L6W 2L
Away record3W 2L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Texas spreadCoversFair
Texas -26.532%+210
Texas -22.542%+140
Texas -19.549%+104
Texas -16.556%-130
Texas -12.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.558%42%
55.550%50%
58.543%57%
62.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas +3.5 wins if Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

No. 25 Missouri Crushes No. 8 Florida to Snap Losing Streak

No. 25 Missouri dominated No. 8 Florida 45-17 on Saturday, snapping a long losing streak against ranked teams with a massive offensive display.

4 Oct 2026
College Football

Sarkisian Prepares for Headset Silence With Trump Attending Texas vs Tennessee

Texas coach Steve Sarkisian is preparing for sudden headset blackouts when President Donald Trump attends Saturday's game against Tennessee.

24 Sept 2026
College Football

Johnny Knoxville Set as Guest Picker for Week 4 Clash in Tennessee

College GameDay is heading to Knoxville for a massive matchup between Texas and Tennessee, featuring actor Johnny Knoxville as the guest picker.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns?

Our prediction for Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns is Texas Longhorns to win, with a 86% chance. We project Florida Gators 18.3 and Texas Longhorns 37.4. Our best bet is Florida +29.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns?

We project Florida Gators 18.3 and Texas Longhorns 37.4, about 55.7 points in total.

How are Texas Longhorns playing?

Texas Longhorns have 13 wins and 2 losses in their last 15 games, with 484 points scored and 296 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Florida Gators playing?

Florida Gators have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 419 points scored and 406 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Texas Longhorns and Florida Gators last met?

It ended Florida Gators 29, Texas Longhorns 21. In the last 1 meeting Texas Longhorns won 0 and Florida Gators won 1.

What is the best bet for Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns?

Florida +29.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texas against Florida. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.