Quick answer
Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 88% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 38.0. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -303.
- Prediction
- Miami Hurricanes to win
- Chance
- 88%
- Projected score
- Florida State Seminoles 18, Miami Hurricanes 38
- Projected total
- 56.0 points
- Best bet
- Miami -9.5 at -303
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Miami -9.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Miami Hurricanes 88% and Florida State Seminoles 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Miami Hurricanes the favourite at -1587.
- 2
Recent formMiami Hurricanes won 5 of their last 5 and Florida State Seminoles won 3 of their last 5. Miami Hurricanes come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayMiami Hurricanes won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Florida State Seminoles won 0 of their last 6 on the road.
- 4
ScoringMiami Hurricanes score 35.3 points a game and let in 13.6. Florida State Seminoles score 30.3 and let in 23.5. Their recent games average 48.9 and 53.7 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 1 meeting, Miami Hurricanes won 1 and Florida State Seminoles won 0. The last one ended Florida State Seminoles 22, Miami Hurricanes 28.
- 6
The safest betMiami -9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewFlorida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes: Miami Hurricanes are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Miami Hurricanes host Florida State Seminoles in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 at Hard Rock Stadium. Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 88% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 38.0. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -303.
Miami Hurricanes form
Miami Hurricanes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 671 points scored and 259 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.
Florida State Seminoles form
Florida State Seminoles have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 454 points scored and 352 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 1 time in our records. Miami Hurricanes won 1, Florida State Seminoles won 0. Last time out it finished Florida State Seminoles 22, Miami Hurricanes 28.
Our call
We expect Florida State Seminoles to score about 17.9 points and Miami Hurricanes about 38.0. That points to Miami Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Miami -9.5 at -303.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 19 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against DraftKings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Miami +3.5 wins if Miami win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 88% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 38.0. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -303.
What is the projected score for Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
We project Florida State Seminoles 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 38.0, about 56.0 points in total.
How are Miami Hurricanes playing?
Miami Hurricanes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 671 points scored and 259 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.
How are Florida State Seminoles playing?
Florida State Seminoles have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 454 points scored and 352 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.
What happened when Miami Hurricanes and Florida State Seminoles last met?
It ended Florida State Seminoles 22, Miami Hurricanes 28. In the last 1 meeting Miami Hurricanes won 1 and Florida State Seminoles won 0.
What is the best bet for Florida State Seminoles vs Miami Hurricanes?
Miami -9.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against Florida St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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