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College FootballFri 13 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers prediction

Acrisure Stadium

Florida State SeminolesAway
18.6 : 36.8
projected points
Pittsburgh PanthersHome
13%Florida St
87%Pitt
Eagle safe pickFlorida St +28.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers is Pittsburgh Panthers to win, with a 87% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 18.6 and Pittsburgh Panthers 36.8. Our best bet is Florida St +28.5 at -304.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Panthers to win
Chance
87%
Projected score
Florida State Seminoles 19, Pittsburgh Panthers 37
Projected total
55.4 points
Best bet
Florida St +28.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Florida St +28.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Panthers 87% and Florida State Seminoles 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Panthers won 2 of their last 5 and Florida State Seminoles won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Panthers won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Florida State Seminoles won 0 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Panthers score 30.9 points a game and let in 23.7. Florida State Seminoles score 29.6 and let in 26.4. Their recent games average 54.6 and 56.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Pittsburgh Panthers won 1 and Florida State Seminoles won 0. The last one ended Florida State Seminoles 31, Pittsburgh Panthers 34.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Florida St +28.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers: Pittsburgh Panthers are favourites

The big picture

Pittsburgh Panthers host Florida State Seminoles in the College Football on Fri 13 Nov, 19:00 at Acrisure Stadium. Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers is Pittsburgh Panthers to win, with a 87% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 18.6 and Pittsburgh Panthers 36.8. Our best bet is Florida St +28.5 at -304.

Pittsburgh Panthers form

Pittsburgh Panthers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 619 points scored and 474 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Florida State Seminoles form

Florida State Seminoles have 6 wins and 12 losses in their last 18 games, with 533 points scored and 475 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Pittsburgh Panthers won 1, Florida State Seminoles won 0. Last time out it finished Florida State Seminoles 31, Pittsburgh Panthers 34.

Our call

We expect Florida State Seminoles to score about 18.6 points and Pittsburgh Panthers about 36.8. That points to Pittsburgh Panthers to win. Our safest bet is Florida St +28.5 at -304.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PittFlorida St
Games played2018
Wins126
Losses812
Points scored619533
Points conceded474475
Scored per game30.929.6
Conceded per game23.726.4
Home record7W 4L6W 4L
Away record5W 4L0W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pitt spreadCoversFair
Pitt -25.532%+210
Pitt -21.542%+140
Pitt -18.549%+104
Pitt -15.557%-130
Pitt -11.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.557%43%
55.550%50%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pitt +3.5 wins if Pitt win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers?

Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers is Pittsburgh Panthers to win, with a 87% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 18.6 and Pittsburgh Panthers 36.8. Our best bet is Florida St +28.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers?

We project Florida State Seminoles 18.6 and Pittsburgh Panthers 36.8, about 55.4 points in total.

How are Pittsburgh Panthers playing?

Pittsburgh Panthers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 619 points scored and 474 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Florida State Seminoles playing?

Florida State Seminoles have 6 wins and 12 losses in their last 18 games, with 533 points scored and 475 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 8 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Panthers and Florida State Seminoles last met?

It ended Florida State Seminoles 31, Pittsburgh Panthers 34. In the last 1 meeting Pittsburgh Panthers won 1 and Florida State Seminoles won 0.

What is the best bet for Florida State Seminoles vs Pittsburgh Panthers?

Florida St +28.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pitt against Florida St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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