Predictions › United States › Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 21:30 United States time

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars prediction

Martin Stadium

Fresno State BulldogsAway
22.1 : 24.6
projected points
Washington State CougarsHome
50%Fresno St
50%Washington St
Eagle safe pickWashington St +8.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Fresno State Bulldogs 22.1 and Washington State Cougars 24.6. Our best bet is Washington St +8.5 at -307.

Prediction
Fresno State Bulldogs to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Fresno State Bulldogs 22, Washington State Cougars 25
Projected total
46.8 points
Best bet
Washington St +8.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Washington St +8.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington State Cougars 50% and Fresno State Bulldogs 50%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Washington State Cougars the favourite at -115, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington State Cougars won 2 of their last 5 and Fresno State Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5. Fresno State Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington State Cougars won 4 of their last 6 games at home. Fresno State Bulldogs won 4 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington State Cougars score 22.2 points a game and let in 22.6. Fresno State Bulldogs score 25.9 and let in 17.7. Their recent games average 44.8 and 43.6 points in total, and the market line is 46.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Washington St +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Washington Strest between games-5%
  • Fresno Strest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars: Fresno State Bulldogs shade it

The big picture

Washington State Cougars host Fresno State Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 21:30 at Martin Stadium. Our prediction for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Fresno State Bulldogs 22.1 and Washington State Cougars 24.6. Our best bet is Washington St +8.5 at -307.

Washington State Cougars form

Washington State Cougars have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 333 points scored and 339 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Fresno State Bulldogs form

Fresno State Bulldogs have 10 wins and 4 losses in their last 14 games, with 363 points scored and 248 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Fresno State Bulldogs to score about 22.1 points and Washington State Cougars about 24.6. That points to Fresno State Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Washington St +8.5 at -307.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

Washington StFresno St
Games played1514
Wins610
Losses94
Points scored333363
Points conceded339248
Scored per game22.225.9
Conceded per game22.617.7
Home record4W 2L6W 2L
Away record2W 7L4W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Washington St to win50%+102-115-7.4%
Fresno St to win44%+126-105-13.7%
Washington St -1.549%+103-105-3.8%
Fresno St +1.544%+125-115-16.9%
Over 46.5 points47%+111-115-11.2%
Under 46.5 points46%+116-105-9.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Washington St spreadCoversFair
Washington St -9.533%+203
Washington St -5.542%+135
Washington St -2.550%+100
Washington St +0.557%-135
Washington St +4.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
39.567%33%
43.558%42%
46.551%49%
49.543%57%
53.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Washington St +3.5 wins if Washington St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars?

Our prediction for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars is Fresno State Bulldogs to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Fresno State Bulldogs 22.1 and Washington State Cougars 24.6. Our best bet is Washington St +8.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars?

We project Fresno State Bulldogs 22.1 and Washington State Cougars 24.6, about 46.8 points in total.

How are Washington State Cougars playing?

Washington State Cougars have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 333 points scored and 339 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Fresno State Bulldogs playing?

Fresno State Bulldogs have 10 wins and 4 losses in their last 14 games, with 363 points scored and 248 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars?

Washington St +8.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Washington St against Fresno St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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