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Predictions › United Kingdom › Fulham vs Newcastle United
Premier LeagueSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Fulham vs Newcastle United prediction

Craven Cottage

FulhamHome
1.61 : 1.27
expected goals
Newcastle UnitedAway
45%Fulham
26%Draw
30%Newcastle
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle United is Fulham to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Fulham to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fulham 1.6, Newcastle United 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fulham to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fulham 45%, the draw 26% and Newcastle United 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Fulham the favourite at 6/5.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fulham took 10 points from their last 5 games and Newcastle United took 6 from 5. Fulham come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fulham won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Newcastle United won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fulham score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Newcastle United score 1.4 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Fulham games and 12 of Newcastle United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Fulham won 1 and Newcastle United won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fulham 2, Newcastle United 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fulhamrecent form+1%
  • Newcastlerecent form-3%
Fulham form D W L D WNewcastle form D L L W LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fulham vs Newcastle United: Fulham shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fulham host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Craven Cottage. Our prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle United is Fulham to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Fulham form

Fulham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Newcastle United form

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Fulham won 1, Newcastle United won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fulham 2, Newcastle United 0.

Our call

We expect Fulham to score about 1.6 goals and Newcastle United about 1.3. That points to Fulham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Fulham to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FulhamNewcastle
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws53
Losses89
Goals scored2129
Goals conceded2135
Scored per game1.11.4
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record5W 1D 4L4W 2D 3L
Away record2W 4D 4L4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets40%20%
Both teams scored35%65%
Over 2.5 goals35%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Fulham to win43%5/46/5-4.6%
A Draw25%3/15/2-12.0%
Newcastle United to win28%5/22/1-13.3%
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens4/6-15.2%
Under 2.5 goals43%5/411/10-9.1%
Fulham -0.543%11/821/20-11.5%
Newcastle United +0.551%Evens8/13-17.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1/4
Over 2.5 goals55%5/6
Over 3.5 goals33%85/40
Both teams to score58%8/11
Fulham or Draw70%2/5
Newcastle United or Draw55%4/5
Fulham to win and Over 2.529%12/5
Newcastle United to win and Over 2.519%9/2
Fulham clean sheet28%13/5
Newcastle United clean sheet20%4/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-19.2%
1-08.3%
1-27.3%
2-07.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Fulham Boss Álvaro Arbeloa Charged By FA After Manchester United Draw

Fulham manager Álvaro Arbeloa faces an FA misconduct charge for claiming officials would not let Manchester United lose.

30 Sept 2026
Premier League

Yobo Backs Iwobi to Set New Nigeria Appearance Record

Former captain Joseph Yobo believes Fulham midfielder Alex Iwobi can reach 130 caps for Nigeria and break the all-time appearance record.

23 Sept 2026
Premier League

Why Lewis Hall chose Newcastle stay over Manchester United transfer

Newcastle defender Lewis Hall says signing a new contract was a no brainer despite summer transfer interest from Manchester United.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Our prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle United is Fulham to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Fulham vs Newcastle United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Fulham to score 1.6 goals and Newcastle United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Fulham last 20 games and 13 of Newcastle United last 20.

How are Fulham playing?

Fulham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Newcastle United playing?

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Fulham and Newcastle United last met?

It ended Fulham 2, Newcastle United 0. In the last 3 meetings Fulham won 1 and Newcastle United won 2.

What is the best bet for Fulham vs Newcastle United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fulham against Newcastle. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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