Predictions › Turkey › Galatasaray vs Samsunspor
Super LigSat 21 Nov, 13:00 Turkey time

Galatasaray vs Samsunspor prediction

RAMS Park

GalatasarayHome
3.18 : 1.08
expected goals
SamsunsporAway
78%Galatasaray
13%Draw
9%Samsunspor
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Samsunspor is Galatasaray to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Galatasaray to win
Chance
78%
Most likely score
3-1
Expected goals
Galatasaray 3.2, Samsunspor 1.1
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Galatasaray to win and both score
43% chanceFair price 2.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Galatasaray 78%, the draw 13% and Samsunspor 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Galatasaray took 15 points from their last 5 games and Samsunspor took 3 from 5. Galatasaray come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Galatasaray won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Samsunspor won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Galatasaray score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Samsunspor score 1.4 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Galatasaray games and 14 of Samsunspor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Galatasaray won 1 and Samsunspor won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Samsunspor 4, Galatasaray 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Galatasarayrecent form+7%
  • Samsunsporrecent form-4%
Galatasaray form W W W W WSamsunspor form W L L L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Galatasaray vs Samsunspor: Galatasaray are favourites

The big picture

Galatasaray host Samsunspor in the Super Lig on Sat 21 Nov, 13:00 at RAMS Park. Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Samsunspor is Galatasaray to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.26.

Galatasaray form

Galatasaray have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Samsunspor form

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Galatasaray won 1, Samsunspor won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Samsunspor 4, Galatasaray 1.

Our call

We expect Galatasaray to score about 3.2 goals and Samsunspor about 1.1. That points to Galatasaray to win, with 3-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Galatasaray to win and both score at 2.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GalatasaraySamsunspor
Games played2020
Wins148
Draws12
Losses510
Goals scored4529
Goals conceded3240
Scored per game2.31.4
Conceded per game1.62.0
Home record8W 1D 1L4W 2D 4L
Away record6W 0D 4L4W 0D 6L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals80%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%1.08
Over 2.5 goals80%1.25
Over 3.5 goals62%1.62
Both teams to score64%1.57
Galatasaray or Draw91%1.10
Samsunspor or Draw22%4.55
Galatasaray to win and Over 2.567%1.50
Samsunspor to win and Over 2.57%14.39
Galatasaray clean sheet34%2.95
Samsunspor clean sheet4%24.11

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-18.2%
2-17.7%
3-07.6%
2-07.1%
4-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Galatasaray vs Samsunspor?

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Samsunspor is Galatasaray to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Galatasaray vs Samsunspor?

3-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect Galatasaray to score 3.2 goals and Samsunspor 1.1.

Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Samsunspor?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Galatasaray last 20 games and 11 of Samsunspor last 20.

How are Galatasaray playing?

Galatasaray have 14 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Samsunspor playing?

Samsunspor have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Galatasaray and Samsunspor last met?

It ended Samsunspor 4, Galatasaray 1. In the last 2 meetings Galatasaray won 1 and Samsunspor won 1.

What is the best bet for Galatasaray vs Samsunspor?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Galatasaray against Samsunspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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