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Predictions › Conference League › Getafe vs FC Lugano
Conference LeagueThu 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Getafe vs FC Lugano prediction

Estadio Coliseum

GetafeHome
1.16 : 0.86
expected goals
FC LuganoAway
42%Getafe
32%Draw
26%FC Lugano
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Getafe vs FC Lugano is Getafe to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
Getafe to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Getafe 1.2, FC Lugano 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Getafe 42%, the draw 32% and FC Lugano 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Getafe took 5 points from their last 5 games and FC Lugano took 4 from 3. Getafe come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Getafe score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.9. FC Lugano score 1.0 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Getafe games and 1 of FC Lugano games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Luganorecent form+4%
  • Getaferest between games-2%
  • FC Luganorest between games-3%
Getafe form D W L D DFC Lugano form D W D W WHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Getafe vs FC Lugano: Getafe shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Getafe host FC Lugano in the Conference League on Thu 22 Oct, 16:45 at Estadio Coliseum. Our prediction for Getafe vs FC Lugano is Getafe to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Getafe form

Getafe have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

FC Lugano form

FC Lugano have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 3 games, with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Getafe to score about 1.2 goals and FC Lugano about 0.9. That points to Getafe to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GetafeFC Lugano
Games played203
Wins81
Draws31
Losses91
Goals scored153
Goals conceded193
Scored per game0.81.0
Conceded per game0.91.0
Home record6W 2D 2L1W 1D 0L
Away record2W 1D 7L0W 0D 1L
Clean sheets35%0%
Both teams scored20%67%
Over 2.5 goals20%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals61%1.65
Over 2.5 goals33%3.04
Over 3.5 goals15%6.83
Both teams to score40%2.47
Getafe or Draw74%1.36
FC Lugano or Draw58%1.72
Getafe to win and Over 2.518%5.46
FC Lugano to win and Over 2.511%9.22
Getafe clean sheet42%2.37
FC Lugano clean sheet31%3.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.6%
0-014.1%
1-114.0%
0-110.6%
2-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
LaLiga

Aubameyang Matches Ibrahimovic Record in Dream LaLiga Start

Deportivo striker Pierre Emerick Aubameyang has equalled a LaLiga record by scoring in each of his first five matches this season.

14 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Getafe vs FC Lugano?

Our prediction for Getafe vs FC Lugano is Getafe to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Getafe vs FC Lugano?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Getafe to score 1.2 goals and FC Lugano 0.9.

Will both teams score in Getafe vs FC Lugano?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Getafe last 20 games and 2 of FC Lugano last 3.

How are Getafe playing?

Getafe have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

How are FC Lugano playing?

FC Lugano have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 3 games, with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 3 results read W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Getafe vs FC Lugano?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Getafe against FC Lugano. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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