Predictions › Spain › Getafe vs Sevilla
LaLigaSun 1 Nov, 13:00 Spain time

Getafe vs Sevilla prediction

Estadio Coliseum

GetafeHome
1.08 : 1.04
expected goals
SevillaAway
35%Getafe
31%Draw
33%Sevilla
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Getafe vs Sevilla is Getafe to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Getafe to win
Chance
35%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Getafe 1.1, Sevilla 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Getafe to win
35% chancePrice 2.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Getafe 35%, the draw 31% and Sevilla 33%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Sevilla the favourite at 2.65, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Getafe took 5 points from their last 5 games and Sevilla took 7 from 5. Sevilla come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Getafe won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Sevilla won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Getafe score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Sevilla score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Getafe games and 11 of Sevilla games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Getafe won 0 and Sevilla won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Getafe 0, Sevilla 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Getaferecent form-1%
  • Sevillarecent form+1%
  • Getaferest between games-2%
Getafe form D D L W LSevilla form D D L W WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Getafe vs Sevilla: Getafe shade it

The big picture

Getafe host Sevilla in the LaLiga on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Estadio Coliseum. Our prediction for Getafe vs Sevilla is Getafe to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Getafe form

Getafe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Sevilla form

Sevilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Getafe won 0, Sevilla won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Getafe 0, Sevilla 1.

Our call

We expect Getafe to score about 1.1 goals and Sevilla about 1.0. That points to Getafe to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Getafe to win at 2.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GetafeSevilla
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws52
Losses810
Goals scored1525
Goals conceded2034
Scored per game0.81.3
Conceded per game1.01.7
Home record5W 3D 2L5W 0D 4L
Away record2W 2D 6L3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored30%60%
Over 2.5 goals20%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Getafe to win35%2.872.85-0.5%
A Draw30%3.292.95-10.3%
Sevilla to win33%3.062.65-13.4%
Over 1.5 goals56%1.791.56-13.0%
Under 1.5 goals40%2.532.30-8.9%
Getafe +0.561%1.631.44-11.5%
Sevilla -0.536%2.802.45-12.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.58
Over 2.5 goals36%2.81
Over 3.5 goals17%6.05
Both teams to score44%2.30
Getafe or Draw67%1.50
Sevilla or Draw65%1.54
Getafe to win and Over 2.516%6.20
Sevilla to win and Over 2.515%6.60
Getafe clean sheet35%2.83
Sevilla clean sheet34%2.94

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-012.8%
1-012.1%
0-111.7%
2-17.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?

Our prediction for Getafe vs Sevilla is Getafe to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Getafe vs Sevilla?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Getafe to score 1.1 goals and Sevilla 1.0.

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Sevilla?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Getafe last 20 games and 12 of Sevilla last 20.

How are Getafe playing?

Getafe have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Sevilla playing?

Sevilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Getafe and Sevilla last met?

It ended Getafe 0, Sevilla 1. In the last 1 meeting Getafe won 0 and Sevilla won 1.

What is the best bet for Getafe vs Sevilla?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Getafe against Sevilla. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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