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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks
NBAWed 18 Nov, 21:30 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

American Airlines Center

Golden State WarriorsAway
116.3 : 115.0
projected points
Dallas MavericksHome
56%Warriors
44%Mavericks
Eagle safe pickMavericks +9.5
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 116.3 and Dallas Mavericks 115.0. Our best bet is Mavericks +9.5 at -306.

Prediction
Golden State Warriors to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 116, Dallas Mavericks 115
Projected total
231.3 points
Best bet
Mavericks +9.5 at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mavericks +9.5
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mavericks to win
44% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Mavericks 44% and Golden State Warriors 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Mavericks won 3 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 5 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Mavericks won 7 of their last 12 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Mavericks score 116.7 points a game and let in 116.1. Golden State Warriors score 117.0 and let in 110.4. Their recent games average 232.8 and 227.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 1 and Golden State Warriors won 2. The last one ended Dallas Mavericks 131, Golden State Warriors 137.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mavericks +9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsteam news-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks: Golden State Warriors shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Mavericks host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wed 18 Nov, 21:30 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 116.3 and Dallas Mavericks 115.0. Our best bet is Mavericks +9.5 at -306.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2334 points scored and 2322 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2339 points scored and 2208 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 1, Golden State Warriors won 2. Last time out it finished Dallas Mavericks 131, Golden State Warriors 137.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 116.3 points and Dallas Mavericks about 115.0. That points to Golden State Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Mavericks +9.5 at -306. Our bold bet is Mavericks to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MavericksWarriors
Games played2020
Wins1013
Losses107
Points scored23342339
Points conceded23222208
Scored per game116.7117.0
Conceded per game116.1110.4
Home record7W 5L9W 1L
Away record3W 5L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mavericks spreadCoversFair
Mavericks -4.532%+209
Mavericks -1.541%+142
Mavericks +1.551%-103
Mavericks +4.560%-152
Mavericks +7.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
225.563%37%
228.556%44%
231.550%50%
234.543%57%
237.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Steph Curry and Kevin Durant Still Dominating at Age 38

Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant continue to put up impressive stats at age 38, ten years after teaming up.

8 hours ago
NBA

Stephen Curry Scores 41 as Warriors Win Seventh Straight

Stephen Curry dropped 41 points to lead Golden State past Orlando in overtime, setting a new late career scoring record.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Warriors Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Buys California House for His Mother

Golden State Warriors rookie Yaxel Lendeborg surprised his mother with a new home in California to thank her for her years of support.

7 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 116.3 and Dallas Mavericks 115.0. Our best bet is Mavericks +9.5 at -306.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks?

We project Golden State Warriors 116.3 and Dallas Mavericks 115.0, about 231.3 points in total.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2334 points scored and 2322 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2339 points scored and 2208 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Dallas Mavericks 131, Golden State Warriors 137. In the last 3 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 1 and Golden State Warriors won 2.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks?

Mavericks +9.5 at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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