EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
NBAMon 26 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets prediction

Ball Arena

Golden State WarriorsAway
113.3 : 117.7
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
38%Warriors
62%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickWarriors +12.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 113.3 and Denver Nuggets 117.7. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -293.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 113, Denver Nuggets 118
Projected total
231.0 points
Best bet
Warriors +12.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +12.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
36% chanceFair price +1811 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 62% and Golden State Warriors 38%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 2 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 10 of their last 12 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 120.7 points a game and let in 117.2. Golden State Warriors score 112.0 and let in 114.8. Their recent games average 237.9 and 226.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 2. The last one ended Denver Nuggets 116, Golden State Warriors 93.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Mon 26 Oct, 22:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 113.3 and Denver Nuggets 117.7. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -293.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2414 points scored and 2344 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2239 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 2, Golden State Warriors won 2. Last time out it finished Denver Nuggets 116, Golden State Warriors 93.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 113.3 points and Denver Nuggets about 117.7. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +12.5 at -293. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +181.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsWarriors
Games played2020
Wins148
Losses612
Points scored24142239
Points conceded23442297
Scored per game120.7112.0
Conceded per game117.2114.8
Home record10W 2L5W 4L
Away record4W 4L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -10.531%+219
Nuggets -7.540%+148
Nuggets -4.550%+101
Nuggets -1.559%-146
Nuggets +1.568%-215
Total pointsOverUnder
225.562%38%
228.556%44%
231.549%51%
234.542%58%
237.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Brandin Podziemski Agrees to Long Term Golden State Warriors Extension

Brandin Podziemski and the Golden State Warriors have agreed to a five year contract extension worth 110 million dollars.

10 Oct 2026
NBA

How Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Is Winning Over the Warriors

Golden State rookie Yaxel Lendeborg is making a fast impact as the team searches for immediate help during Stephen Curry's final years.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 62% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 113.3 and Denver Nuggets 117.7. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Golden State Warriors 113.3 and Denver Nuggets 117.7, about 231.0 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 2414 points scored and 2344 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2239 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Denver Nuggets 116, Golden State Warriors 93. In the last 4 meetings Denver Nuggets won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 2.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets?

Warriors +12.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.