EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets
NBAWed 11 Nov, 21:30 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets prediction

Toyota Center (Houston)

Golden State WarriorsAway
107.3 : 114.5
projected points
Houston RocketsHome
26%Warriors
74%Rockets
Eagle safe pickWarriors +15.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 107.3 and Houston Rockets 114.5. Our best bet is Warriors +15.5 at -312.

Prediction
Houston Rockets to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 107, Houston Rockets 115
Projected total
221.8 points
Best bet
Warriors +15.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +15.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
28% chanceFair price +2631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Houston Rockets 74% and Golden State Warriors 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Houston Rockets won 4 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Houston Rockets won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Houston Rockets score 115.0 points a game and let in 107.3. Golden State Warriors score 114.3 and let in 112.7. Their recent games average 222.3 and 227.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Houston Rockets won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 1. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 116, Houston Rockets 117.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +15.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rocketsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets: Houston Rockets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Houston Rockets host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wed 11 Nov, 21:30 at Toyota Center (Houston). Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 107.3 and Houston Rockets 114.5. Our best bet is Warriors +15.5 at -312.

Houston Rockets form

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2299 points scored and 2147 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2286 points scored and 2254 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Houston Rockets won 2, Golden State Warriors won 1. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 116, Houston Rockets 117.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 107.3 points and Houston Rockets about 114.5. That points to Houston Rockets to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +15.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +263.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RocketsWarriors
Games played2020
Wins1310
Losses710
Points scored22992286
Points conceded21472254
Scored per game115.0114.3
Conceded per game107.3112.7
Home record7W 4L6W 3L
Away record6W 3L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Rockets spreadCoversFair
Rockets -13.531%+227
Rockets -10.539%+154
Rockets -7.549%+105
Rockets -4.558%-140
Rockets -1.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
215.564%36%
218.557%43%
221.551%49%
224.544%56%
227.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rockets +3.5 wins if Rockets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Stephen Curry Leads Warriors Back From 25 Point Deficit Against Lakers

Stephen Curry scored 31 points as the Golden State Warriors erased a 25 point deficit to beat the Los Angeles Lakers 112-95.

31 Oct 2026
NBA

Kevin Durant reflects on his eight years with the Thunder

Kevin Durant spoke about his time in Oklahoma City, the crowd support, and his connection to the community.

30 Oct 2026
NBA

NBA Head Coaches Demand Fixes to Flopping Rules

Chris Finch and Steve Kerr want the NBA to adjust how flopping technicals are called, targeting offensive foul baiting instead of defense.

29 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets is Houston Rockets to win, with a 74% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 107.3 and Houston Rockets 114.5. Our best bet is Warriors +15.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

We project Golden State Warriors 107.3 and Houston Rockets 114.5, about 221.8 points in total.

How are Houston Rockets playing?

Houston Rockets have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2299 points scored and 2147 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2286 points scored and 2254 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 116, Houston Rockets 117. In the last 3 meetings Houston Rockets won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 1.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets?

Warriors +15.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rockets against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.