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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
NBATue 13 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction

T-Mobile Arena

Golden State WarriorsAway
111.4 : 114.5
projected points
Los Angeles LakersHome
43%Warriors
57%Lakers
Eagle safe pickWarriors +11.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 111.4 and Los Angeles Lakers 114.5. Our best bet is Warriors +11.5 at -313.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 111, Los Angeles Lakers 114
Projected total
225.8 points
Best bet
Warriors +11.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +11.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
38% chanceFair price +1651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Lakers 57% and Golden State Warriors 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Lakers won 1 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Lakers won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Lakers score 109.2 points a game and let in 109.7. Golden State Warriors score 112.8 and let in 119.0. Their recent games average 218.8 and 231.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Lakers won 4 and Golden State Warriors won 1. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 103, Los Angeles Lakers 119.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +11.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lakersrest between games-3%
  • Warriorsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers: Los Angeles Lakers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Los Angeles Lakers host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Tue 13 Oct, 22:00 at T-Mobile Arena. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 111.4 and Los Angeles Lakers 114.5. Our best bet is Warriors +11.5 at -313.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2184 points scored and 2193 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Los Angeles Lakers won 4, Golden State Warriors won 1. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 103, Los Angeles Lakers 119.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 111.4 points and Los Angeles Lakers about 114.5. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +11.5 at -313. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +165.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LakersWarriors
Games played2020
Wins116
Losses914
Points scored21842256
Points conceded21932381
Scored per game109.2112.8
Conceded per game109.7119.0
Home record7W 4L3W 6L
Away record4W 5L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lakers spreadCoversFair
Lakers -9.531%+228
Lakers -6.539%+154
Lakers -3.549%+105
Lakers -0.558%-140
Lakers +2.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
219.564%36%
222.557%43%
225.551%49%
228.544%56%
231.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lakers +3.5 wins if Lakers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Bronny James Speaks Out After Father LeBron Leaves Lakers for Sixers

Bronny James says he did not talk much with his father LeBron about his move to Philly, but he is excited to face him on Christmas Day.

29 Sept 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026
NBA

Voice of the Lakers Lawrence Tanter Dies After 43 Years with Team

The Los Angeles Lakers announced the passing of Lawrence Tanter, the legendary public address announcer who spent 43 years behind the microphone.

24 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 111.4 and Los Angeles Lakers 114.5. Our best bet is Warriors +11.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers?

We project Golden State Warriors 111.4 and Los Angeles Lakers 114.5, about 225.8 points in total.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2184 points scored and 2193 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 103, Los Angeles Lakers 119. In the last 5 meetings Los Angeles Lakers won 4 and Golden State Warriors won 1.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Warriors +11.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lakers against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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