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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
NBAWed 21 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction

crypto.com Arena

Golden State WarriorsAway
114.9 : 119.1
projected points
Los Angeles LakersHome
41%Warriors
59%Lakers
Eagle safe pickWarriors +12.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 114.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 119.1. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -299.

Prediction
Los Angeles Lakers to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 115, Los Angeles Lakers 119
Projected total
234.0 points
Best bet
Warriors +12.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +12.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Lakers 59% and Golden State Warriors 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Los Angeles Lakers the favourite at -175.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Lakers won 2 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Lakers won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Lakers score 107.5 points a game and let in 110.0. Golden State Warriors score 111.8 and let in 116.4. Their recent games average 217.5 and 228.3 points in total, and the market line is 235.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Lakers won 3 and Golden State Warriors won 2. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 124, Los Angeles Lakers 98.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Lakersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers: Los Angeles Lakers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Los Angeles Lakers host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wed 21 Oct, 22:00 at crypto.com Arena. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 114.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 119.1. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -299.

Los Angeles Lakers form

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2150 points scored and 2200 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2237 points scored and 2328 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Los Angeles Lakers won 3, Golden State Warriors won 2. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 124, Los Angeles Lakers 98.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 114.9 points and Los Angeles Lakers about 119.1. That points to Los Angeles Lakers to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +12.5 at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LakersWarriors
Games played2020
Wins107
Losses1013
Points scored21502237
Points conceded22002328
Scored per game107.5111.8
Conceded per game110.0116.4
Home record6W 4L5W 4L
Away record4W 6L2W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Lakers to win59%-142-175-7.7%
Warriors to win37%+172+145-9.8%
Lakers -4.547%+115-115-12.9%
Warriors +4.548%+108-105-6.3%
Over 235.5 points45%+125-110-15.0%
Under 235.5 points50%-100-110-4.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Lakers spreadCoversFair
Lakers -10.531%+225
Lakers -7.540%+152
Lakers -4.549%+103
Lakers -1.559%-142
Lakers +1.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
227.564%36%
230.558%42%
233.551%49%
236.544%56%
239.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lakers +3.5 wins if Lakers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Lakers Center Walker Kessler Returns to Full Practice After Finger Injury

Walker Kessler joined full practice on Sunday as he targets his Lakers debut following a left pinkie injury.

7 hours ago
NBA

Brandin Podziemski Agrees to Long Term Golden State Warriors Extension

Brandin Podziemski and the Golden State Warriors have agreed to a five year contract extension worth 110 million dollars.

10 Oct 2026
NBA

How Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Is Winning Over the Warriors

Golden State rookie Yaxel Lendeborg is making a fast impact as the team searches for immediate help during Stephen Curry's final years.

8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers is Los Angeles Lakers to win, with a 59% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 114.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 119.1. Our best bet is Warriors +12.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers?

We project Golden State Warriors 114.9 and Los Angeles Lakers 119.1, about 234.0 points in total.

How are Los Angeles Lakers playing?

Los Angeles Lakers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2150 points scored and 2200 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2237 points scored and 2328 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 124, Los Angeles Lakers 98. In the last 5 meetings Los Angeles Lakers won 3 and Golden State Warriors won 2.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers?

Warriors +12.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lakers against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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