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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAThu 19 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Golden State WarriorsAway
117.2 : 115.6
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
57%Warriors
43%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickWarriors +6.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 117.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 115.6. Our best bet is Warriors +6.5 at -301.

Prediction
Golden State Warriors to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 117, Memphis Grizzlies 116
Projected total
232.8 points
Best bet
Warriors +6.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +6.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Grizzlies to win
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 43% and Golden State Warriors 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 5 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 115.3 points a game and let in 118.3. Golden State Warriors score 117.0 and let in 110.4. Their recent games average 233.7 and 227.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 1 and Golden State Warriors won 3. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 108, Memphis Grizzlies 111.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +6.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsteam news-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies: Golden State Warriors shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Thu 19 Nov, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 117.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 115.6. Our best bet is Warriors +6.5 at -301.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2307 points scored and 2367 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2339 points scored and 2208 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 1, Golden State Warriors won 3. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 108, Memphis Grizzlies 111.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 117.2 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 115.6. That points to Golden State Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +6.5 at -301. Our bold bet is Grizzlies to win at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesWarriors
Games played2020
Wins1013
Losses107
Points scored23072339
Points conceded23672208
Scored per game115.3117.0
Conceded per game118.3110.4
Home record3W 6L9W 1L
Away record7W 4L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies -4.531%+220
Grizzlies -1.540%+149
Grizzlies +1.550%+102
Grizzlies +4.559%-144
Grizzlies +7.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
226.564%36%
229.557%43%
232.551%49%
235.544%56%
238.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Steph Curry and Kevin Durant Still Dominating at Age 38

Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant continue to put up impressive stats at age 38, ten years after teaming up.

10 hours ago
NBA

Stephen Curry Scores 41 as Warriors Win Seventh Straight

Stephen Curry dropped 41 points to lead Golden State past Orlando in overtime, setting a new late career scoring record.

8 Nov 2026
NBA

Warriors Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Buys California House for His Mother

Golden State Warriors rookie Yaxel Lendeborg surprised his mother with a new home in California to thank her for her years of support.

7 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 117.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 115.6. Our best bet is Warriors +6.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Golden State Warriors 117.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 115.6, about 232.8 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2307 points scored and 2367 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 2339 points scored and 2208 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 108, Memphis Grizzlies 111. In the last 4 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 1 and Golden State Warriors won 3.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Warriors +6.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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