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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves
NBAWed 28 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

Target Center

Golden State WarriorsAway
109.8 : 112.7
projected points
Minnesota TimberwolvesHome
46%Warriors
54%Timberwolves
Eagle safe pickTimberwolves +5.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 109.8 and Minnesota Timberwolves 112.7. Our best bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -312.

Prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 110, Minnesota Timberwolves 113
Projected total
222.6 points
Best bet
Timberwolves +5.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Timberwolves +5.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
42% chanceFair price +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Timberwolves 54% and Golden State Warriors 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 2 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Timberwolves score 113.2 points a game and let in 116.8. Golden State Warriors score 113.3 and let in 115.0. Their recent games average 230.0 and 228.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 and Golden State Warriors won 1. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 117, Minnesota Timberwolves 127.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Timberwolves +5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-2%
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota Timberwolves shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Minnesota Timberwolves host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 at Target Center. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 109.8 and Minnesota Timberwolves 112.7. Our best bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -312.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2336 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2266 points scored and 2300 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Minnesota Timberwolves won 3, Golden State Warriors won 1. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 117, Minnesota Timberwolves 127.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 109.8 points and Minnesota Timberwolves about 112.7. That points to Minnesota Timberwolves to win. Our safest bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TimberwolvesWarriors
Games played2020
Wins119
Losses911
Points scored22642266
Points conceded23362300
Scored per game113.2113.3
Conceded per game116.8115.0
Home record5W 3L6W 4L
Away record6W 6L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Timberwolves spreadCoversFair
Timberwolves -8.533%+205
Timberwolves -5.542%+139
Timberwolves -2.551%-106
Timberwolves +0.561%-155
Timberwolves +3.570%-230
Total pointsOverUnder
216.563%37%
219.557%43%
222.550%50%
225.544%56%
228.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Timberwolves +3.5 wins if Timberwolves win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Brandin Podziemski Agrees to Long Term Golden State Warriors Extension

Brandin Podziemski and the Golden State Warriors have agreed to a five year contract extension worth 110 million dollars.

10 Oct 2026
NBA

How Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Is Winning Over the Warriors

Golden State rookie Yaxel Lendeborg is making a fast impact as the team searches for immediate help during Stephen Curry's final years.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Minnesota Timberwolves to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 109.8 and Minnesota Timberwolves 112.7. Our best bet is Timberwolves +5.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

We project Golden State Warriors 109.8 and Minnesota Timberwolves 112.7, about 222.6 points in total.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2336 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 2266 points scored and 2300 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 117, Minnesota Timberwolves 127. In the last 4 meetings Minnesota Timberwolves won 3 and Golden State Warriors won 1.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Timberwolves +5.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Timberwolves against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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