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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns
NBASat 24 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns prediction

Mortgage Matchup Center

Golden State WarriorsAway
107.6 : 110.3
projected points
Phoenix SunsHome
45%Warriors
55%Suns
Eagle safe pickSuns +5.5
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 107.6 and Phoenix Suns 110.3. Our best bet is Suns +5.5 at -296.

Prediction
Phoenix Suns to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 108, Phoenix Suns 110
Projected total
217.9 points
Best bet
Suns +5.5 at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Suns +5.5
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
42% chanceFair price +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Phoenix Suns 55% and Golden State Warriors 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Phoenix Suns won 1 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Phoenix Suns won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Phoenix Suns score 111.2 points a game and let in 113.8. Golden State Warriors score 112.0 and let in 114.8. Their recent games average 224.9 and 226.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Phoenix Suns won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 3. The last one ended Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Suns +5.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sunsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Phoenix Suns host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Sat 24 Oct, 22:00 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 107.6 and Phoenix Suns 110.3. Our best bet is Suns +5.5 at -296.

Phoenix Suns form

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2276 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2239 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Phoenix Suns won 2, Golden State Warriors won 3. Last time out it finished Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 107.6 points and Phoenix Suns about 110.3. That points to Phoenix Suns to win. Our safest bet is Suns +5.5 at -296. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +140.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SunsWarriors
Games played2020
Wins78
Losses1312
Points scored22232239
Points conceded22762297
Scored per game111.2112.0
Conceded per game113.8114.8
Home record4W 5L5W 4L
Away record3W 8L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Suns spreadCoversFair
Suns -8.532%+209
Suns -5.541%+142
Suns -2.551%-103
Suns +0.560%-152
Suns +3.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
211.564%36%
214.557%43%
217.551%49%
220.544%56%
223.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Suns +3.5 wins if Suns win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Brandin Podziemski Agrees to Long Term Golden State Warriors Extension

Brandin Podziemski and the Golden State Warriors have agreed to a five year contract extension worth 110 million dollars.

10 Oct 2026
NBA

How Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg Is Winning Over the Warriors

Golden State rookie Yaxel Lendeborg is making a fast impact as the team searches for immediate help during Stephen Curry's final years.

8 Oct 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns is Phoenix Suns to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 107.6 and Phoenix Suns 110.3. Our best bet is Suns +5.5 at -296.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

We project Golden State Warriors 107.6 and Phoenix Suns 110.3, about 217.9 points in total.

How are Phoenix Suns playing?

Phoenix Suns have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2223 points scored and 2276 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2239 points scored and 2297 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Phoenix Suns 111, Golden State Warriors 96. In the last 5 meetings Phoenix Suns won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 3.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns?

Suns +5.5 at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Suns against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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