Quick answer
Our prediction for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans is Houston Texans to win, with a 72% chance. We project Houston Texans 22.7 and Tennessee Titans 16.4. Our best bet is Texans to win at -298.
- Prediction
- Houston Texans to win
- Chance
- 72%
- Projected score
- Houston Texans 23, Tennessee Titans 16
- Projected total
- 39.0 points
- Best bet
- Texans to win at -298
Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.
The eagle's three picks
✓ Eagle safe pick
Texans to win
73% chancePrice -2981 unit
⚡ Eagle bold pick
Titans to win
28% chancePrice +2401 unit
Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.
Why we think this
- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Tennessee Titans 28% and Houston Texans 72%. The bookmakers agree and make Houston Texans the favourite at -298.
- 2
Recent formTennessee Titans won 1 of their last 5 and Houston Texans won 0 of their last 5. Tennessee Titans come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayTennessee Titans won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Houston Texans won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
- 4
ScoringTennessee Titans score 16.1 points a game and let in 24.8. Houston Texans score 21.8 and let in 20.4. Their recent games average 41.0 and 42.2 points in total, and the market line is 39.5.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Tennessee Titans won 0 and Houston Texans won 2. The last one ended Tennessee Titans 13, Houston Texans 16.
- 6
The safest betTexans to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.
What moved our number
Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.
Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.
Match previewHouston Texans vs Tennessee Titans: Houston Texans are favourites
By the EagleEyeOdds desk
The big picture
Tennessee Titans host Houston Texans in the NFL on Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 at Nissan Stadium. Our prediction for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans is Houston Texans to win, with a 72% chance. We project Houston Texans 22.7 and Tennessee Titans 16.4. Our best bet is Texans to win at -298.
Tennessee Titans form
Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 323 points scored and 496 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
Houston Texans form
Houston Texans have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 436 points scored and 408 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Tennessee Titans won 0, Houston Texans won 2. Last time out it finished Tennessee Titans 13, Houston Texans 16.
Our call
We expect Houston Texans to score about 22.7 points and Tennessee Titans about 16.4. That points to Houston Texans to win. Our safest bet is Texans to win at -298. Our bold bet is Titans to win at +240.
Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.
Team records
Last 20 games in all competitions.
Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.
Price check against Draft Kings
Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.
Spread and total at every line
Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Titans +3.5 wins if Titans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.
Questions people ask
Who will win Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans?
Our prediction for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans is Houston Texans to win, with a 72% chance. We project Houston Texans 22.7 and Tennessee Titans 16.4. Our best bet is Texans to win at -298.
What is the projected score for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans?
We project Houston Texans 22.7 and Tennessee Titans 16.4, about 39.0 points in total.
How are Tennessee Titans playing?
Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 323 points scored and 496 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.
How are Houston Texans playing?
Houston Texans have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 436 points scored and 408 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans last met?
It ended Tennessee Titans 13, Houston Texans 16. In the last 2 meetings Tennessee Titans won 0 and Houston Texans won 2.
What is the best bet for Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans?
Texans to win at -298, with a 73% chance.
Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.
Important, please read before you bet
- These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Titans against Texans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
- We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
- 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
- Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
- No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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