Predictions › United Kingdom › Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Premier LeagueSun 22 Nov, 14:00 United Kingdom time

Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

The MKM Stadium

Hull CityHome
0.99 : 1.88
expected goals
Brighton & Hove AlbionAway
19%Hull
24%Draw
57%Brighton
Eagle safe pickBrighton & Hove Albion or Draw
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 1/4.

Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Hull City 1.0, Brighton & Hove Albion 1.9
Best bet
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 1/4
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 7/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Hull City 19%, the draw 24% and Brighton & Hove Albion 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Brighton & Hove Albion the favourite at 1/2.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Hull City took 3 points from their last 5 games and Brighton & Hove Albion took 10 from 5. Brighton & Hove Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Hull City won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Brighton & Hove Albion won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Hull City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Brighton & Hove Albion score 2.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Hull City games and 12 of Brighton & Hove Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hullrecent form-3%
Hull form L D D L DBrighton form D W W L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Brighton & Hove Albion are favourites

The big picture

Hull City host Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 at The MKM Stadium. Our prediction for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 1/4.

Hull City form

Hull City have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Brighton & Hove Albion form

Brighton & Hove Albion have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Hull City to score about 1.0 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion about 1.9. That points to Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 1/4. Our bold bet is Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.5 at 7/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HullBrighton
Games played2020
Wins512
Draws93
Losses65
Goals scored2243
Goals conceded2118
Scored per game1.12.1
Conceded per game1.10.9
Home record3W 6D 0L7W 1D 1L
Away record2W 3D 6L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets30%60%
Both teams scored55%25%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Hull City to win18%9/29/2+4.4%
A Draw23%10/310/3-1.4%
Brighton & Hove Albion to win52%10/111/2-21.6%
Over 2.5 goals51%10/118/13-16.5%
Under 2.5 goals42%7/511/10-10.0%
Hull City +1.558%8/111/2-12.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion -1.537%7/45/4-15.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%2/7
Over 2.5 goals55%5/6
Over 3.5 goals32%85/40
Both teams to score54%5/6
Hull City or Draw43%11/8
Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw81%2/9
Hull City to win and Over 2.511%8/1
Brighton & Hove Albion to win and Over 2.537%13/8
Hull City clean sheet15%11/2
Brighton & Hove Albion clean sheet37%7/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
0-110.0%
0-210.0%
1-29.9%
0-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Our prediction for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion is Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Hull City to score 1.0 goals and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.9.

Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Hull City last 20 games and 5 of Brighton & Hove Albion last 20.

How are Hull City playing?

Hull City have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Brighton & Hove Albion playing?

Brighton & Hove Albion have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion or Draw at 1/4, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hull against Brighton. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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