Predictions › United States › Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins
College FootballFri 13 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins prediction

Rose Bowl

Illinois Fighting IlliniAway
20.7 : 29.8
projected points
UCLA BruinsHome
26%Illinois
74%UCLA
Eagle safe pickIllinois +19.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins is UCLA Bruins to win, with a 74% chance. We project Illinois Fighting Illini 20.7 and UCLA Bruins 29.8. Our best bet is Illinois +19.5 at -305.

Prediction
UCLA Bruins to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Illinois Fighting Illini 21, UCLA Bruins 30
Projected total
50.5 points
Best bet
Illinois +19.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Illinois +19.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Illinois to win
28% chanceFair price +2631 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UCLA Bruins 74% and Illinois Fighting Illini 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UCLA Bruins won 5 of their last 5 and Illinois Fighting Illini won 3 of their last 5. UCLA Bruins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UCLA Bruins won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Illinois Fighting Illini won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UCLA Bruins score 25.2 points a game and let in 24.2. Illinois Fighting Illini score 27.2 and let in 25.2. Their recent games average 49.3 and 52.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Illinois +19.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UCLAteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins: UCLA Bruins are favourites

The big picture

UCLA Bruins host Illinois Fighting Illini in the College Football on Fri 13 Nov, 21:00 at Rose Bowl. Our prediction for Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins is UCLA Bruins to win, with a 74% chance. We project Illinois Fighting Illini 20.7 and UCLA Bruins 29.8. Our best bet is Illinois +19.5 at -305.

UCLA Bruins form

UCLA Bruins have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 453 points scored and 435 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Illinois Fighting Illini form

Illinois Fighting Illini have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 517 points scored and 479 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Illinois Fighting Illini to score about 20.7 points and UCLA Bruins about 29.8. That points to UCLA Bruins to win. Our safest bet is Illinois +19.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Illinois to win at +263.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

UCLAIllinois
Games played1819
Wins1112
Losses77
Points scored453517
Points conceded435479
Scored per game25.227.2
Conceded per game24.225.2
Home record7W 3L9W 3L
Away record4W 4L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UCLA spreadCoversFair
UCLA -16.532%+210
UCLA -12.542%+140
UCLA -9.549%+104
UCLA -6.557%-130
UCLA -2.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.557%43%
50.550%50%
53.543%57%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UCLA +3.5 wins if UCLA win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins?

Our prediction for Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins is UCLA Bruins to win, with a 74% chance. We project Illinois Fighting Illini 20.7 and UCLA Bruins 29.8. Our best bet is Illinois +19.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins?

We project Illinois Fighting Illini 20.7 and UCLA Bruins 29.8, about 50.5 points in total.

How are UCLA Bruins playing?

UCLA Bruins have 11 wins and 7 losses in their last 18 games, with 453 points scored and 435 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Illinois Fighting Illini playing?

Illinois Fighting Illini have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 517 points scored and 479 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Illinois Fighting Illini vs UCLA Bruins?

Illinois +19.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UCLA against Illinois. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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