Predictions › United States › Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines

College FootballSat 24 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines prediction

Michigan Stadium

Indiana HoosiersAway

28.6 : 23.2

projected points

Michigan WolverinesHome

69%Indiana

31%Michigan

Eagle safe pickMichigan +16

-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 69% chance. We project Indiana Hoosiers 28.6 and Michigan Wolverines 23.2. Our best bet is Michigan +16 at -302.

Prediction: Indiana Hoosiers to win
Chance: 69%
Projected score: Indiana Hoosiers 29, Michigan Wolverines 23
Projected total: 51.8 points
Best bet: Michigan +16 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Michigan +16

75% chanceFair price -3022 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Michigan to win

31% chancePrice +2101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Michigan Wolverines 31% and Indiana Hoosiers 69%. The bookmakers agree and make Indiana Hoosiers the favourite at -258.
2
Recent form
Michigan Wolverines won 3 of their last 5 and Indiana Hoosiers won 5 of their last 5. Indiana Hoosiers come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Michigan Wolverines won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Indiana Hoosiers won 8 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Scoring
Michigan Wolverines score 26.6 points a game and let in 18.9. Indiana Hoosiers score 41.2 and let in 11.8. Their recent games average 45.6 and 53.0 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.
5
The safest bet
Michigan +16 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines: Indiana Hoosiers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Michigan Wolverines host Indiana Hoosiers in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Michigan Stadium. Our prediction for Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 69% chance. We project Indiana Hoosiers 28.6 and Michigan Wolverines 23.2. Our best bet is Michigan +16 at -302.

Michigan Wolverines form

Michigan Wolverines have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 426 points scored and 303 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Indiana Hoosiers form

Indiana Hoosiers have 20 wins and 0 losses in their last 20 games, with 824 points scored and 235 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Indiana Hoosiers to score about 28.6 points and Michigan Wolverines about 23.2. That points to Indiana Hoosiers to win. Our safest bet is Michigan +16 at -302. Our bold bet is Michigan to win at +210.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Michigan	Indiana
Games played	16	20
Wins	11	20
Losses	5	0
Points scored	426	824
Points conceded	303	235
Scored per game	26.6	41.2
Conceded per game	18.9	11.8
Home record	7W 2L	12W 0L
Away record	4W 3L	8W 0L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Michigan to win	31%	+224	+210	-4.3%
Indiana to win	67%	-206	-258	-6.6%
Michigan +6	49%	+104	-110	-6.2%
Indiana -6	47%	+114	-110	-10.8%
Over 52.5 points	47%	+115	-108	-10.3%
Under 52.5 points	49%	+103	-112	-6.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Michigan spread	Covers	Fair
Michigan -1.5	33%	+199
Michigan +2.5	43%	+133
Michigan +5.5	50%	-101
Michigan +8.5	58%	-137
Michigan +12.5	67%	-205

Total points	Over	Under
44.5	68%	32%
48.5	58%	42%
51.5	51%	49%
54.5	43%	57%
58.5	34%	66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Michigan +3.5 wins if Michigan win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

College Football

Michigan Keeps Bryce Underwood and Jason Beck in Charge

Michigan coach Kyle Whittingham confirmed Bryce Underwood and Jason Beck will keep their roles ahead of the Penn State game.

12 Oct 2026

College Football

Indiana Rallies Past Nebraska With Late Fourth Down Trick Play

Nick Marsh scored two long fourth quarter touchdowns to push seventh ranked Indiana past Nebraska 20-17 on Saturday.

10 Oct 2026

College Football

Turbo Richard Runs for 204 Yards as Indiana Crushes Rutgers

Turbo Richard returned from an ankle injury to run for 204 yards and a score in Indiana's 45-17 road win over Rutgers.

4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines?

What is the projected score for Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines?

We project Indiana Hoosiers 28.6 and Michigan Wolverines 23.2, about 51.8 points in total.

How are Michigan Wolverines playing?

How are Indiana Hoosiers playing?

What is the best bet for Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines?

Michigan +16 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Michigan against Indiana. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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