Predictions › United States › Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights prediction

SHI Stadium

Indiana HoosiersAway
39.7 : 16.3
projected points
Rutgers Scarlet KnightsHome
94%Indiana
6%Rutgers
Eagle safe pickOver 45.5 points
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 94% chance. We project Indiana Hoosiers 39.7 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 16.3. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -300.

Prediction
Indiana Hoosiers to win
Chance
94%
Projected score
Indiana Hoosiers 40, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 16
Projected total
56.0 points
Best bet
Over 45.5 points at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 45.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3002 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rutgers Scarlet Knights 6% and Indiana Hoosiers 94%. The bookmakers agree and make Indiana Hoosiers the favourite at -2083.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rutgers Scarlet Knights won 1 of their last 5 and Indiana Hoosiers won 5 of their last 5. Indiana Hoosiers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rutgers Scarlet Knights won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Indiana Hoosiers won 6 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Rutgers Scarlet Knights score 28.6 points a game and let in 32.0. Indiana Hoosiers score 42.1 and let in 11.3. Their recent games average 60.6 and 53.3 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 45.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Rutgersrest between games-2%
  • Indianarest between games-2%
  • Indianateam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights: Indiana Hoosiers are favourites

The big picture

Rutgers Scarlet Knights host Indiana Hoosiers in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 20:00 at SHI Stadium. Our prediction for Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 94% chance. We project Indiana Hoosiers 39.7 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 16.3. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -300.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights form

Rutgers Scarlet Knights have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 400 points scored and 448 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Indiana Hoosiers form

Indiana Hoosiers have 18 wins and 0 losses in their last 18 games, with 757 points scored and 203 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Indiana Hoosiers to score about 39.7 points and Rutgers Scarlet Knights about 16.3. That points to Indiana Hoosiers to win. Our safest bet is Over 45.5 points at -300.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

RutgersIndiana
Games played1418
Wins418
Losses100
Points scored400757
Points conceded448203
Scored per game28.642.1
Conceded per game32.011.3
Home record3W 5L12W 0L
Away record1W 5L6W 0L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Rutgers to win6%+1676+1100-32.4%
Indiana to win90%-879-2083-5.9%
Rutgers +23.547%+112-105-8.0%
Indiana -23.547%+114-115-12.8%
Over 55.5 points48%+108-115-9.9%
Under 55.5 points46%+119-105-11.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Rutgers spreadCoversFair
Rutgers +16.533%+200
Rutgers +20.543%+134
Rutgers +23.550%-101
Rutgers +26.558%-136
Rutgers +30.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
49.566%34%
53.556%44%
56.549%51%
59.541%59%
63.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rutgers +3.5 wins if Rutgers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights?

Our prediction for Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights is Indiana Hoosiers to win, with a 94% chance. We project Indiana Hoosiers 39.7 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 16.3. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -300.

What is the projected score for Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights?

We project Indiana Hoosiers 39.7 and Rutgers Scarlet Knights 16.3, about 56.0 points in total.

How are Rutgers Scarlet Knights playing?

Rutgers Scarlet Knights have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 400 points scored and 448 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Indiana Hoosiers playing?

Indiana Hoosiers have 18 wins and 0 losses in their last 18 games, with 757 points scored and 203 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights?

Over 45.5 points at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rutgers against Indiana. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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