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Predictions › United States › Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAWed 4 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Indiana PacersAway
117.8 : 120.7
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
46%Pacers
54%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickGrizzlies +5.5
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 117.8 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.7. Our best bet is Grizzlies +5.5 at -313.

Prediction
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Indiana Pacers 118, Memphis Grizzlies 121
Projected total
238.5 points
Best bet
Grizzlies +5.5 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grizzlies +5.5
76% chanceFair price -3132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pacers to win
40% chanceFair price +1481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 54% and Indiana Pacers 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 5 of their last 5 and Indiana Pacers won 2 of their last 5. Memphis Grizzlies come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Indiana Pacers won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 112.5 points a game and let in 124.0. Indiana Pacers score 119.5 and let in 120.3. Their recent games average 236.4 and 239.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 2 and Indiana Pacers won 0. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 106, Memphis Grizzlies 125.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grizzlies +5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-5%
  • Pacersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies: Memphis Grizzlies shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 117.8 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.7. Our best bet is Grizzlies +5.5 at -313.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2249 points scored and 2479 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2390 points scored and 2407 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 2, Indiana Pacers won 0. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 106, Memphis Grizzlies 125.

Our call

We expect Indiana Pacers to score about 117.8 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 120.7. That points to Memphis Grizzlies to win. Our safest bet is Grizzlies +5.5 at -313. Our bold bet is Pacers to win at +148.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesPacers
Games played2020
Wins77
Losses1313
Points scored22492390
Points conceded24792407
Scored per game112.5119.5
Conceded per game124.0120.3
Home record3W 7L2W 9L
Away record4W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies -8.533%+206
Grizzlies -5.542%+140
Grizzlies -2.551%-105
Grizzlies +0.561%-154
Grizzlies +3.570%-228
Total pointsOverUnder
232.563%37%
235.557%43%
238.550%50%
241.543%57%
244.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Grizzlies Stun Warriors With Late 17-0 Run in San Francisco

The Golden State Warriors collapsed in the final four minutes, allowing a 17-0 run as the Memphis Grizzlies snatched a 111-108 road victory.

24 Oct 2026
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Return Leads Pacers Past Pelicans

Tyrese Haliburton scored 23 points in his return from an Achilles injury as the Indiana Pacers beat the New Orleans Pelicans 123-120.

22 Oct 2026
NBA

Grizzlies Waive Walter Clayton Jr. and Micah Peavy Before Cut Deadline

Memphis waived Walter Clayton Jr. and Micah Peavy to trim its roster before Monday's deadline while guaranteeing Jaylen Wells' contract.

19 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies is Memphis Grizzlies to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 117.8 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.7. Our best bet is Grizzlies +5.5 at -313.

What is the projected score for Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Indiana Pacers 117.8 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.7, about 238.5 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2249 points scored and 2479 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2390 points scored and 2407 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Indiana Pacers last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 106, Memphis Grizzlies 125. In the last 2 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 2 and Indiana Pacers won 0.

What is the best bet for Indiana Pacers vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Grizzlies +5.5 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Pacers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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