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Predictions › United States › Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks
NBAMon 26 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction

Fiserv Forum

Indiana PacersAway
116.1 : 118.2
projected points
Milwaukee BucksHome
47%Pacers
53%Bucks
Eagle safe pickPacers +10.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks is Milwaukee Bucks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 116.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 118.2. Our best bet is Pacers +10.5 at -303.

Prediction
Milwaukee Bucks to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Indiana Pacers 116, Milwaukee Bucks 118
Projected total
234.4 points
Best bet
Pacers +10.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pacers +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Pacers to win
44% chanceFair price +1291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Bucks 53% and Indiana Pacers 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Bucks won 2 of their last 5 and Indiana Pacers won 1 of their last 5. Milwaukee Bucks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Bucks won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Indiana Pacers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Bucks score 108.5 points a game and let in 120.0. Indiana Pacers score 117.5 and let in 121.4. Their recent games average 228.6 and 238.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Milwaukee Bucks won 5 and Indiana Pacers won 0. The last one ended Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pacers +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bucksrest between games-5%
  • Pacersrest between games-5%
  • Pacersteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee Bucks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Milwaukee Bucks host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Mon 26 Oct, 20:00 at Fiserv Forum. Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks is Milwaukee Bucks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 116.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 118.2. Our best bet is Pacers +10.5 at -303.

Milwaukee Bucks form

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2170 points scored and 2401 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Indiana Pacers form

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2351 points scored and 2428 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Milwaukee Bucks won 5, Indiana Pacers won 0. Last time out it finished Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128.

Our call

We expect Indiana Pacers to score about 116.1 points and Milwaukee Bucks about 118.2. That points to Milwaukee Bucks to win. Our safest bet is Pacers +10.5 at -303. Our bold bet is Pacers to win at +129.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BucksPacers
Games played2020
Wins65
Losses1415
Points scored21702351
Points conceded24012428
Scored per game108.5117.5
Conceded per game120.0121.4
Home record3W 6L2W 9L
Away record3W 8L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Bucks spreadCoversFair
Bucks -8.530%+228
Bucks -5.539%+154
Bucks -2.549%+105
Bucks +0.558%-140
Bucks +3.567%-206
Total pointsOverUnder
228.563%37%
231.556%44%
234.550%50%
237.543%57%
240.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bucks +3.5 wins if Bucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Return Brings New Energy to Indiana Pacers

Tyrese Haliburton returned to action after missing 16 months with an Achilles injury. The Indiana Pacers guard is ready to lead his team again.

13 Oct 2026
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton Scores Seven Points in Return to the Court

Tyrese Haliburton returned to action for the Indiana Pacers, scoring seven points in 16 minutes after missing more than 16 months with an injury.

8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Our prediction for Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks is Milwaukee Bucks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Indiana Pacers 116.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 118.2. Our best bet is Pacers +10.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

We project Indiana Pacers 116.1 and Milwaukee Bucks 118.2, about 234.4 points in total.

How are Milwaukee Bucks playing?

Milwaukee Bucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2170 points scored and 2401 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Indiana Pacers playing?

Indiana Pacers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2351 points scored and 2428 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers last met?

It ended Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128. In the last 5 meetings Milwaukee Bucks won 5 and Indiana Pacers won 0.

What is the best bet for Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks?

Pacers +10.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bucks against Pacers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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