Predictions › United States › Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars
NFLSun 1 Nov, 13:00 United States time

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction

EverBank Stadium

Indianapolis ColtsAway
20.2 : 27.4
projected points
Jacksonville JaguarsHome
25%Colts
75%Jaguars
Eagle safe pickJaguars to win
-360

Quick answer

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 75% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 20.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 27.4. Our best bet is Jaguars to win at -360.

Prediction
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Indianapolis Colts 20, Jacksonville Jaguars 27
Projected total
47.6 points
Best bet
Jaguars to win at -360

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Jaguars to win
75% chancePrice -3601 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Colts to win
25% chancePrice +2851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Jacksonville Jaguars 75% and Indianapolis Colts 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Jacksonville Jaguars the favourite at -360.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Jacksonville Jaguars won 3 of their last 5 and Indianapolis Colts won 2 of their last 5. Jacksonville Jaguars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Jacksonville Jaguars won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Indianapolis Colts won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Jacksonville Jaguars score 28.3 points a game and let in 18.3. Indianapolis Colts score 22.6 and let in 26.6. Their recent games average 46.6 and 49.1 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Jacksonville Jaguars won 2 and Indianapolis Colts won 0. The last one ended Indianapolis Colts 17, Jacksonville Jaguars 23.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Jaguars to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Jaguarsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Jacksonville Jaguars are favourites

The big picture

Jacksonville Jaguars host Indianapolis Colts in the NFL on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at EverBank Stadium. Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 75% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 20.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 27.4. Our best bet is Jaguars to win at -360.

Jacksonville Jaguars form

Jacksonville Jaguars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 566 points scored and 366 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Indianapolis Colts form

Indianapolis Colts have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 451 points scored and 532 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Jacksonville Jaguars won 2, Indianapolis Colts won 0. Last time out it finished Indianapolis Colts 17, Jacksonville Jaguars 23.

Our call

We expect Indianapolis Colts to score about 20.2 points and Jacksonville Jaguars about 27.4. That points to Jacksonville Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Jaguars to win at -360. Our bold bet is Colts to win at +285.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

JaguarsColts
Games played2020
Wins155
Losses514
Points scored566451
Points conceded366532
Scored per game28.322.6
Conceded per game18.326.6
Home record8W 3L3W 7L
Away record7W 2L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Jaguars to win75%-299-360-4.2%
Colts to win25%+299+285-3.4%
Jaguars -7.547%+113-110-10.3%
Colts +7.548%+109-110-8.5%
Over 47.5 points48%+110-110-8.9%
Under 47.5 points47%+112-110-9.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Jaguars spreadCoversFair
Jaguars -14.530%+238
Jaguars -10.541%+147
Jaguars -7.549%+103
Jaguars -4.558%-139
Jaguars -0.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
40.571%29%
44.559%41%
47.550%50%
50.541%59%
54.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Jaguars +3.5 wins if Jaguars win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 75% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 20.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 27.4. Our best bet is Jaguars to win at -360.

What is the projected score for Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

We project Indianapolis Colts 20.2 and Jacksonville Jaguars 27.4, about 47.6 points in total.

How are Jacksonville Jaguars playing?

Jacksonville Jaguars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 566 points scored and 366 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Indianapolis Colts playing?

Indianapolis Colts have 5 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 451 points scored and 532 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Jacksonville Jaguars and Indianapolis Colts last met?

It ended Indianapolis Colts 17, Jacksonville Jaguars 23. In the last 2 meetings Jacksonville Jaguars won 2 and Indianapolis Colts won 0.

What is the best bet for Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jaguars to win at -360, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Jaguars against Colts. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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