Predictions › Champions League › Internazionale vs Club Brugge
Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Internazionale vs Club Brugge prediction

San Siro

InternazionaleHome
2.51 : 1.10
expected goals
Club BruggeAway
68%Inter Milan
18%Draw
14%Club Brugge
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Club Brugge is Internazionale to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Internazionale to win
Chance
68%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Internazionale 2.5, Club Brugge 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and both score
36% chanceFair price 2.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Internazionale 68%, the draw 18% and Club Brugge 14%. The bookmakers agree and make Internazionale the favourite at 1.28.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Internazionale took 10 points from their last 5 games and Club Brugge took 9 from 5. Internazionale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Internazionale won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Club Brugge won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Internazionale score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. Club Brugge score 2.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Internazionale games and 16 of Club Brugge games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Inter Milanrecent form+3%
  • Club Bruggerecent form+1%
Inter Milan form D W L W WClub Brugge form W W L W LHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internazionale vs Club Brugge: Internazionale are favourites

The big picture

Internazionale host Club Brugge in the Champions League on Tue 13 Oct, 19:00 at San Siro. Our prediction for Internazionale vs Club Brugge is Internazionale to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Club Brugge form

Club Brugge have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Internazionale to score about 2.5 goals and Club Brugge about 1.1. That points to Internazionale to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and both score at 2.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Inter MilanClub Brugge
Games played2020
Wins1116
Draws61
Losses33
Goals scored4655
Goals conceded2617
Scored per game2.32.8
Conceded per game1.30.8
Home record7W 2D 1L10W 0D 1L
Away record4W 4D 2L6W 1D 2L
Clean sheets30%45%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Internazionale to win69%1.451.28-11.7%
A Draw18%5.625.75+2.2%
Club Brugge to win14%7.159.00+25.9%
Over 3.5 goals42%2.382.20-7.5%
Under 3.5 goals53%1.891.63-14.2%
Internazionale -1.549%2.051.69-17.6%
Club Brugge +1.546%2.171.95-10.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.43
Over 3.5 goals49%2.06
Both teams to score62%1.62
Internazionale or Draw86%1.17
Club Brugge or Draw32%3.08
Internazionale to win and Over 2.553%1.90
Club Brugge to win and Over 2.510%9.90
Internazionale clean sheet33%3.00
Club Brugge clean sheet8%12.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
2-08.6%
1-17.9%
3-17.8%
3-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Internazionale vs Club Brugge?

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Club Brugge is Internazionale to win, with a 68% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Internazionale vs Club Brugge?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Internazionale to score 2.5 goals and Club Brugge 1.1.

Will both teams score in Internazionale vs Club Brugge?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Internazionale last 20 games and 11 of Club Brugge last 20.

How are Internazionale playing?

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Club Brugge playing?

Club Brugge have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Internazionale vs Club Brugge?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Milan against Club Brugge. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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