Predictions › Italy › Internazionale vs Fiorentina

Serie ASun 25 Oct, 11:30 Italy time

Internazionale vs Fiorentina prediction

San Siro

InternazionaleHome

2.61 : 1.08

expected goals

FiorentinaAway

70%Inter Milan

17%Draw

13%Fiorentina

Eagle safe pickInternazionale to win

1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Fiorentina is Internazionale to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Internazionale to win at 1.34.

Prediction: Internazionale to win
Chance: 70%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Internazionale 2.6, Fiorentina 1.1
Best bet: Internazionale to win at 1.34
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Internazionale to win

71% chancePrice 1.341 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and both score

39% chanceFair price 2.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Internazionale 70%, the draw 17% and Fiorentina 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Internazionale the favourite at 1.34.
2
Recent form
Internazionale took 7 points from their last 5 games and Fiorentina took 4 from 5. Internazionale come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Internazionale won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Fiorentina won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Internazionale score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Fiorentina score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Internazionale games and 11 of Fiorentina games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Internazionale won 1 and Fiorentina won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Fiorentina 1, Internazionale 1.
6
The safest bet
Internazionale to win has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Inter Milanrecent form+1%
Fiorentinarecent form+1%
Inter Milanrest between games-5%

Inter Milan form D W D W LFiorentina form D D W W LHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internazionale vs Fiorentina: Internazionale are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Internazionale host Fiorentina in the Serie A on Sun 25 Oct, 11:30 at San Siro. Our prediction for Internazionale vs Fiorentina is Internazionale to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Internazionale to win at 1.34.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 49 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Fiorentina form

Fiorentina have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Internazionale won 1, Fiorentina won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Fiorentina 1, Internazionale 1.

Our call

We expect Internazionale to score about 2.6 goals and Fiorentina about 1.1. That points to Internazionale to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Internazionale to win at 1.34. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and both score at 2.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Inter Milan	Fiorentina
Games played	20	20
Wins	11	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	3	6
Goals scored	49	24
Goals conceded	28	28
Scored per game	2.5	1.2
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	8W 2D 1L	3W 5D 2L
Away record	3W 4D 2L	5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	65%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Internazionale to win	71%	1.41	1.34	-5.2%
A Draw	17%	6.05	4.90	-18.9%
Fiorentina to win	13%	7.71	6.50	-15.7%
Over 3.5 goals	46%	2.18	2.05	-5.9%
Under 3.5 goals	51%	1.98	1.69	-14.5%
Internazionale -1.5	47%	2.13	1.91	-10.5%
Fiorentina +1.5	50%	2.01	1.74	-13.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.13
Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.40
Over 3.5 goals	50%	1.98
Both teams to score	62%	1.62
Internazionale or Draw	87%	1.15
Fiorentina or Draw	30%	3.30
Internazionale to win and Over 2.5	55%	1.81
Fiorentina to win and Over 2.5	9%	10.68
Internazionale clean sheet	34%	2.95
Fiorentina clean sheet	7%	13.62

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.2%

2-08.5%

3-18.0%

1-17.5%

3-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Serie A

Inter Milan Legend Sandro Mazzola Passes Away at 83

Inter Milan and Italy legend Sandro Mazzola has died at 83, leaving behind an incredible legacy as a one club icon.

19 Sept 2026

Serie A

AC Milan and Inter Prepare to Say Goodbye to the Iconic San Siro

As the iconic San Siro celebrates its 100th anniversary, AC Milan and Inter are preparing to build a brand new home.

18 Sept 2026

Serie A

Real Madrid Loanee Breaks Lionel Messi Record in Italy

On loan Real Madrid winger Franco Mastantuono became the youngest Argentine to score a hat trick in Europe's top leagues during Fiorentina's win.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Internazionale vs Fiorentina?

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Fiorentina is Internazionale to win, with a 70% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Internazionale to win at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Internazionale vs Fiorentina?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect Internazionale to score 2.6 goals and Fiorentina 1.1.

Will both teams score in Internazionale vs Fiorentina?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Internazionale last 20 games and 11 of Fiorentina last 20.

How are Internazionale playing?

How are Fiorentina playing?

What happened when Internazionale and Fiorentina last met?

It ended Fiorentina 1, Internazionale 1. In the last 2 meetings Internazionale won 1 and Fiorentina won 0.

What is the best bet for Internazionale vs Fiorentina?

Internazionale to win at 1.34, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Milan against Fiorentina. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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