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Predictions › Champions League › Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions LeagueWed 21 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

San Siro

InternazionaleHome
2.27 : 1.31
expected goals
Shakhtar DonetskAway
59%Inter Milan
21%Draw
21%Shakhtar
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk is Internazionale to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
Internazionale to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Internazionale 2.3, Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Internazionale to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Internazionale 59%, the draw 21% and Shakhtar Donetsk 21%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Internazionale took 10 points from their last 5 games and Shakhtar Donetsk took 5 from 5. Internazionale come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Internazionale won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Shakhtar Donetsk won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Internazionale score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.3. Shakhtar Donetsk score 1.7 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Internazionale games and 9 of Shakhtar Donetsk games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Inter Milanrecent form+1%
  • Shakhtarrecent form-1%
  • Inter Milanrest between games-5%
  • Shakhtarrest between games-3%
Inter Milan form D D W L WShakhtar form D L L D WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Internazionale are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Internazionale host Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League on Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 at San Siro. Our prediction for Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk is Internazionale to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Internazionale form

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Shakhtar Donetsk form

Shakhtar Donetsk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 13 games, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Internazionale to score about 2.3 goals and Shakhtar Donetsk about 1.3. That points to Internazionale to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Internazionale to win and Over 2.5 at 2.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Inter MilanShakhtar
Games played2013
Wins116
Draws63
Losses34
Goals scored4722
Goals conceded2616
Scored per game2.41.7
Conceded per game1.31.2
Home record8W 2D 1L2W 1D 3L
Away record3W 4D 2L4W 2D 1L
Clean sheets30%31%
Both teams scored65%69%
Over 2.5 goals65%69%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%1.44
Over 3.5 goals48%2.07
Both teams to score66%1.51
Internazionale or Draw79%1.26
Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw41%2.41
Internazionale to win and Over 2.546%2.19
Shakhtar Donetsk to win and Over 2.515%6.55
Internazionale clean sheet27%3.72
Shakhtar Donetsk clean sheet10%9.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.4%
1-18.8%
2-07.2%
3-17.1%
2-26.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Serie A

Inter Milan Legend Sandro Mazzola Passes Away at 83

Inter Milan and Italy legend Sandro Mazzola has died at 83, leaving behind an incredible legacy as a one club icon.

19 Sept 2026
Serie A

AC Milan and Inter Prepare to Say Goodbye to the Iconic San Siro

As the iconic San Siro celebrates its 100th anniversary, AC Milan and Inter are preparing to build a brand new home.

18 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Our prediction for Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk is Internazionale to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Internazionale to score 2.3 goals and Shakhtar Donetsk 1.3.

Will both teams score in Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Internazionale last 20 games and 9 of Shakhtar Donetsk last 13.

How are Internazionale playing?

Internazionale have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Shakhtar Donetsk playing?

Shakhtar Donetsk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 13 games, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Internazionale vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Inter Milan against Shakhtar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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