Predictions › United States › Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction

Huntington Bank Stadium

Iowa HawkeyesAway
23.4 : 20.0
projected points
Minnesota Golden GophersHome
61%Iowa
39%Minnesota
Eagle safe pickMinnesota +14.5
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 61% chance. We project Iowa Hawkeyes 23.4 and Minnesota Golden Gophers 20.0. Our best bet is Minnesota +14.5 at -305.

Prediction
Iowa Hawkeyes to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Iowa Hawkeyes 23, Minnesota Golden Gophers 20
Projected total
43.3 points
Best bet
Minnesota +14.5 at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Minnesota +14.5
75% chanceFair price -3052 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Minnesota to win
39% chancePrice +1501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Golden Gophers 39% and Iowa Hawkeyes 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Iowa Hawkeyes the favourite at -180.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Golden Gophers won 3 of their last 5 and Iowa Hawkeyes won 4 of their last 5. Iowa Hawkeyes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Golden Gophers won 9 of their last 10 games at home. Iowa Hawkeyes won 6 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Golden Gophers score 22.5 points a game and let in 24.6. Iowa Hawkeyes score 30.6 and let in 16.1. Their recent games average 47.2 and 46.6 points in total, and the market line is 42.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Minnesota Golden Gophers won 0 and Iowa Hawkeyes won 1. The last one ended Iowa Hawkeyes 41, Minnesota Golden Gophers 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Minnesota +14.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Iowateam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers: Iowa Hawkeyes are favourites

The big picture

Minnesota Golden Gophers host Iowa Hawkeyes in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 00:00 at Huntington Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 61% chance. We project Iowa Hawkeyes 23.4 and Minnesota Golden Gophers 20.0. Our best bet is Minnesota +14.5 at -305.

Minnesota Golden Gophers form

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 383 points scored and 419 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Iowa Hawkeyes form

Iowa Hawkeyes have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 520 points scored and 273 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Minnesota Golden Gophers won 0, Iowa Hawkeyes won 1. Last time out it finished Iowa Hawkeyes 41, Minnesota Golden Gophers 3.

Our call

We expect Iowa Hawkeyes to score about 23.4 points and Minnesota Golden Gophers about 20.0. That points to Iowa Hawkeyes to win. Our safest bet is Minnesota +14.5 at -305. Our bold bet is Minnesota to win at +150.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

MinnesotaIowa
Games played1717
Wins1013
Losses74
Points scored383520
Points conceded419273
Scored per game22.530.6
Conceded per game24.616.1
Home record9W 1L7W 3L
Away record1W 6L6W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Minnesota to win39%+155+150-2.0%
Iowa to win57%-132-180-11.4%
Minnesota +4.550%-100-110-4.3%
Iowa -4.546%+117-110-12.1%
Over 42.5 points50%+101-110-5.2%
Under 42.5 points47%+115-110-11.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Minnesota spreadCoversFair
Minnesota -3.533%+200
Minnesota +0.543%+134
Minnesota +3.550%-101
Minnesota +6.558%-136
Minnesota +10.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
36.567%33%
40.557%43%
43.550%50%
46.542%58%
50.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Minnesota +3.5 wins if Minnesota win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers?

Our prediction for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers is Iowa Hawkeyes to win, with a 61% chance. We project Iowa Hawkeyes 23.4 and Minnesota Golden Gophers 20.0. Our best bet is Minnesota +14.5 at -305.

What is the projected score for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers?

We project Iowa Hawkeyes 23.4 and Minnesota Golden Gophers 20.0, about 43.3 points in total.

How are Minnesota Golden Gophers playing?

Minnesota Golden Gophers have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 383 points scored and 419 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Iowa Hawkeyes playing?

Iowa Hawkeyes have 13 wins and 4 losses in their last 17 games, with 520 points scored and 273 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Golden Gophers and Iowa Hawkeyes last met?

It ended Iowa Hawkeyes 41, Minnesota Golden Gophers 3. In the last 1 meeting Minnesota Golden Gophers won 0 and Iowa Hawkeyes won 1.

What is the best bet for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers?

Minnesota +14.5 at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Minnesota against Iowa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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