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Predictions › United States › Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats
College FootballSat 7 Nov, 00:00 United States time

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction

Ryan Field

Iowa HawkeyesAway
18.7 : 26.9
projected points
Northwestern WildcatsHome
29%Iowa
71%Northwestern
Eagle safe pickIowa +18.5
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats is Northwestern Wildcats to win, with a 71% chance. We project Iowa Hawkeyes 18.7 and Northwestern Wildcats 26.9. Our best bet is Iowa +18.5 at -300.

Prediction
Northwestern Wildcats to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Iowa Hawkeyes 19, Northwestern Wildcats 27
Projected total
45.6 points
Best bet
Iowa +18.5 at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Iowa +18.5
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Iowa to win
29% chanceFair price +2461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Northwestern Wildcats 71% and Iowa Hawkeyes 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Northwestern Wildcats won 4 of their last 5 and Iowa Hawkeyes won 3 of their last 5. Northwestern Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Northwestern Wildcats won 10 of their last 12 games at home. Iowa Hawkeyes won 6 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Northwestern Wildcats score 27.9 points a game and let in 19.1. Iowa Hawkeyes score 29.4 and let in 15.9. Their recent games average 47.0 and 45.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Iowa +18.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats: Northwestern Wildcats are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Northwestern Wildcats host Iowa Hawkeyes in the College Football on Sat 7 Nov, 00:00 at Ryan Field. Our prediction for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats is Northwestern Wildcats to win, with a 71% chance. We project Iowa Hawkeyes 18.7 and Northwestern Wildcats 26.9. Our best bet is Iowa +18.5 at -300.

Northwestern Wildcats form

Northwestern Wildcats have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 502 points scored and 344 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Iowa Hawkeyes form

Iowa Hawkeyes have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 530 points scored and 286 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Iowa Hawkeyes to score about 18.7 points and Northwestern Wildcats about 26.9. That points to Northwestern Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Iowa +18.5 at -300. Our bold bet is Iowa to win at +246.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

NorthwesternIowa
Games played1818
Wins1213
Losses65
Points scored502530
Points conceded344286
Scored per game27.929.4
Conceded per game19.115.9
Home record10W 2L7W 3L
Away record2W 4L6W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Northwestern spreadCoversFair
Northwestern -15.532%+209
Northwestern -11.542%+139
Northwestern -8.549%+103
Northwestern -5.557%-131
Northwestern -1.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
38.567%33%
42.558%42%
45.550%50%
48.543%57%
52.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Northwestern +3.5 wins if Northwestern win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

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Questions people ask

Who will win Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats?

Our prediction for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats is Northwestern Wildcats to win, with a 71% chance. We project Iowa Hawkeyes 18.7 and Northwestern Wildcats 26.9. Our best bet is Iowa +18.5 at -300.

What is the projected score for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats?

We project Iowa Hawkeyes 18.7 and Northwestern Wildcats 26.9, about 45.6 points in total.

How are Northwestern Wildcats playing?

Northwestern Wildcats have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 502 points scored and 344 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Iowa Hawkeyes playing?

Iowa Hawkeyes have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 530 points scored and 286 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Iowa Hawkeyes vs Northwestern Wildcats?

Iowa +18.5 at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Northwestern against Iowa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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