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College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction

Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Kansas JayhawksAway
23.1 : 31.3
projected points
Kansas State WildcatsHome
26%Kansas
74%Kansas St
Eagle safe pickKansas St to win
-290

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats is Kansas State Wildcats to win, with a 74% chance. We project Kansas Jayhawks 23.1 and Kansas State Wildcats 31.3. Our best bet is Kansas St to win at -290.

Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Kansas Jayhawks 23, Kansas State Wildcats 31
Projected total
54.4 points
Best bet
Kansas St to win at -290

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kansas St to win
74% chancePrice -2901 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Kansas to win
29% chancePrice +2351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas State Wildcats 74% and Kansas Jayhawks 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Kansas State Wildcats the favourite at -290.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas State Wildcats won 4 of their last 5 and Kansas Jayhawks won 2 of their last 5. Kansas State Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas State Wildcats won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Kansas Jayhawks won 1 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas State Wildcats score 33.5 points a game and let in 22.9. Kansas Jayhawks score 28.7 and let in 25.6. Their recent games average 56.4 and 54.3 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kansas State Wildcats won 1 and Kansas Jayhawks won 0. The last one ended Kansas Jayhawks 17, Kansas State Wildcats 42.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kansas St to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats: Kansas State Wildcats are favourites

The big picture

Kansas State Wildcats host Kansas Jayhawks in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Our prediction for Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats is Kansas State Wildcats to win, with a 74% chance. We project Kansas Jayhawks 23.1 and Kansas State Wildcats 31.3. Our best bet is Kansas St to win at -290.

Kansas State Wildcats form

Kansas State Wildcats have 8 wins and 5 losses in their last 13 games, with 435 points scored and 298 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Kansas Jayhawks form

Kansas Jayhawks have 5 wins and 8 losses in their last 13 games, with 373 points scored and 333 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kansas State Wildcats won 1, Kansas Jayhawks won 0. Last time out it finished Kansas Jayhawks 17, Kansas State Wildcats 42.

Our call

We expect Kansas Jayhawks to score about 23.1 points and Kansas State Wildcats about 31.3. That points to Kansas State Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Kansas St to win at -290. Our bold bet is Kansas to win at +235.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Kansas StKansas
Games played1313
Wins85
Losses58
Points scored435373
Points conceded298333
Scored per game33.528.7
Conceded per game22.925.6
Home record6W 1L4W 5L
Away record2W 4L1W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Kansas St to win74%-283-290-0.6%
Kansas to win29%+248+235-3.6%
Kansas St -7.548%+107-108-7.1%
Kansas +7.545%+122-112-14.7%
Over 54.5 points46%+116-112-12.2%
Under 54.5 points47%+113-108-9.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Kansas St spreadCoversFair
Kansas St -15.532%+209
Kansas St -11.542%+139
Kansas St -8.549%+103
Kansas St -5.557%-131
Kansas St -1.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
47.567%33%
51.557%43%
54.550%50%
57.542%58%
61.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Kansas St +3.5 wins if Kansas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats?

Our prediction for Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats is Kansas State Wildcats to win, with a 74% chance. We project Kansas Jayhawks 23.1 and Kansas State Wildcats 31.3. Our best bet is Kansas St to win at -290.

What is the projected score for Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats?

We project Kansas Jayhawks 23.1 and Kansas State Wildcats 31.3, about 54.4 points in total.

How are Kansas State Wildcats playing?

Kansas State Wildcats have 8 wins and 5 losses in their last 13 games, with 435 points scored and 298 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Kansas Jayhawks playing?

Kansas Jayhawks have 5 wins and 8 losses in their last 13 games, with 373 points scored and 333 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Kansas State Wildcats and Kansas Jayhawks last met?

It ended Kansas Jayhawks 17, Kansas State Wildcats 42. In the last 1 meeting Kansas State Wildcats won 1 and Kansas Jayhawks won 0.

What is the best bet for Kansas Jayhawks vs Kansas State Wildcats?

Kansas St to win at -290, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Kansas St against Kansas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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