Predictions › United States › Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 14:00 United States time

Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes prediction

Folsom Field

Kansas State WildcatsAway
29.1 : 27.4
projected points
Colorado BuffaloesHome
55%Kansas St
45%Colorado
Eagle safe pickKansas St +8.5
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes is Kansas State Wildcats to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas State Wildcats 29.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 27.4. Our best bet is Kansas St +8.5 at -296.

Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Kansas State Wildcats 29, Colorado Buffaloes 27
Projected total
56.5 points
Best bet
Kansas St +8.5 at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Kansas St +8.5
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Buffaloes 45% and Kansas State Wildcats 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Buffaloes won 1 of their last 5 and Kansas State Wildcats won 3 of their last 5. Kansas State Wildcats come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Buffaloes won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Kansas State Wildcats won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Buffaloes score 19.8 points a game and let in 30.4. Kansas State Wildcats score 32.4 and let in 23.8. Their recent games average 50.2 and 56.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Colorado Buffaloes won 0 and Kansas State Wildcats won 1. The last one ended Kansas State Wildcats 24, Colorado Buffaloes 14.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Kansas St +8.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes: Kansas State Wildcats shade it

The big picture

Colorado Buffaloes host Kansas State Wildcats in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 at Folsom Field. Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes is Kansas State Wildcats to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas State Wildcats 29.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 27.4. Our best bet is Kansas St +8.5 at -296.

Colorado Buffaloes form

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 317 points scored and 486 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Kansas State Wildcats form

Kansas State Wildcats have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 486 points scored and 357 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colorado Buffaloes won 0, Kansas State Wildcats won 1. Last time out it finished Kansas State Wildcats 24, Colorado Buffaloes 14.

Our call

We expect Kansas State Wildcats to score about 29.1 points and Colorado Buffaloes about 27.4. That points to Kansas State Wildcats to win. Our safest bet is Kansas St +8.5 at -296.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

ColoradoKansas St
Games played1615
Wins49
Losses126
Points scored317486
Points conceded486357
Scored per game19.832.4
Conceded per game30.423.8
Home record3W 5L7W 2L
Away record1W 7L2W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Colorado spreadCoversFair
Colorado -5.533%+205
Colorado -1.542%+137
Colorado +1.550%+102
Colorado +4.557%-133
Colorado +8.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
49.567%33%
53.558%42%
56.550%50%
59.543%57%
63.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Colorado +3.5 wins if Colorado win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Our prediction for Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes is Kansas State Wildcats to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Kansas State Wildcats 29.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 27.4. Our best bet is Kansas St +8.5 at -296.

What is the projected score for Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes?

We project Kansas State Wildcats 29.1 and Colorado Buffaloes 27.4, about 56.5 points in total.

How are Colorado Buffaloes playing?

Colorado Buffaloes have 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 games, with 317 points scored and 486 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Kansas State Wildcats playing?

Kansas State Wildcats have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 486 points scored and 357 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Buffaloes and Kansas State Wildcats last met?

It ended Kansas State Wildcats 24, Colorado Buffaloes 14. In the last 1 meeting Colorado Buffaloes won 0 and Kansas State Wildcats won 1.

What is the best bet for Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes?

Kansas St +8.5 at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado against Kansas St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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